Reds vs. Brewers MLB Pick – September 17th

The Milwaukee Brewers go into a new week looking to solidify their wildcard. If things remain as they are, the play-in game in the National League would be going through Milwaukee. However, the Brewers can also catch the Cubs with a strong finish to the season. They’re just 2.5 behind the Cubs, but they missed a golden opportunity to get closer yesterday. The Cubs fell to the Reds by a run, so it was a missed chance.

The Brewers dropped a close one as well, with a 3-2 loss to the Pirates at home. The Cubs have a magic number that currently stands at 11. There is some work left for them to do with the Brewers right on their heels. Milwaukee just has to make sure they reach the postseason, whether it’s a wildcard or winning the division. Anything else and it’s going to make for a very long offseason in Milwaukee.

The Reds are putting up a fight despite well behind the postseason scene. An ugly start to the season turned into something respectable. They were on track to the bottom of the league, but pulled themselves together. The Reds can thank Joey Votto for not letting the ship sink. He’s the leader of the team and he was becoming visibly frustrated with the play of the rest of his teammates.

They’ve been doing a good job recently of giving good teams a battle. Cincinnati won two of three against the Dodgers, and then they followed it up win a win and two losses by a run against the Cubs. They will their third considerable test in a row in Milwaukee. Anthony DeSclafani is going to have to be better if they want to challenge the Brewers tonight. Head below for our free Reds vs. Brewers pick on Monday.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Anthony DeSclafani (7-5, 4.80 ERA) vs. Wade Miley (4-2, 2.23 ERA)

DeSclafani hasn’t been a bad option for the Reds in 2018. In his fourth-year in the majors and third with the Reds, he’s had some ups and downs. He finished with an ERA of 3.28 a season ago, so there were some expectations of him improving, though. No, he hasn’t been bad, but DeSclafani hasn’t hit his goal this season. He’s been flaming out recently as well. DeSclafani is coming off a couple of poor starts.

He gave up 8 hits and 4 runs in 4 innings against the Padres, and then the Dodgers got to him for 5 runs in 4.2 innings of play. His ERA stands at 8.03, with a 1.86 WHIP and .414 OBA in his previous three showings. In four of his last five starts, he’s allowed 4 or more runs. The Brewers are hitting .261 with a .301 OBP and 4 home runs against DeSclafani in 88 at-bats.

For the Brewers, Wade Miley has developed into a nice asset. The lefty has been on fire with an ERA of 1.96 and 0.87 WHIP in his last three outings. It’s been consistent with what he’s being throughout the year, as he continues to be at the best of his seven-year career. In thirteen starts, Miley has given up more than 2 runs on only one occasion. He’s always been able to handle the Reds in his career, though. They are hitting .181 against him in 72 at-bats. Votto is the only Red to take Miley deep. The Reds have played close to the Dodgers and Cubs in their last two series, but I think the Brewers break that up on Monday with a 6-3 or 7-4 victory.

The Bet: BREWERS -1.5 (+115)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.