Reds vs. Cardinals MLB Pick – August 30th

The Cincinnati Reds head to St. Louis after a tough loss last night in Miami. They went to extras and fell in the 12th by a score of 4-3. Bad loss for the Reds, but it’s all elementary at this point in the season. They’ve already taken themselves out of the postseason equation this summer. There was plenty of hype when the Reds traded for Yasiel Puig.

At a minimum, the Reds were looking at being a team that could get a wildcard. With a record of 63-70, Cincinnati have been way off the mark of their goals in 2019. There is promise for the future, though, with Aristides Aquino swinging the stick, along with Sonny Gray and Luis Castillo in the rotation. The cupboard is not going to be empty for the Reds.

This season is shot for the Reds, though. They aren’t statistically out of the postseason yet, but with a nine-game deficit in the National League for a wildcard, their season is on life support without much help in sight for 2019. The Cardinals lead the NL Central and are 10.5 games up on the Reds. The only team that the Cards have to likely worry about in September is the Cubs.

Milwaukee has a chance, but they have been slowly fading back and are 5.5 games back of 1st going into the weekend. St. Louis have been the best team by far in the NL Central in the second-half. The Cubs and Brewers have both been inconsistent, while the Cards quietly emerged at the top of the division.

The Cardinals are coming off a loss to the Brewers in Milwaukee, though that was their first loss in seven games. Dakota Hudson will look to start a new win streak for St. Louis on Friday. He gets the call against former Indian, Trevor Bauer, this evening at Busch Stadium. Head below for our free Reds vs. Cardinals pick.

Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Cardinals -115/Reds -105
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Trevor Bauer (10-11, 4.34 ERA)
  • Dakota Hudson (13-6, 3.47 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Trevor Bauer has said that he is happy that he’s out of Cleveland. He apparently misses nothing about Cleveland, but I’m sure he misses his stats he had with his former team. Things haven’t gone smoothly for Bauer in Cincinnati thus far. In five outings with the Reds, Bauer has posted an ERA of 7.62 and 1.58 WHIP in 26 innings of work.

In his most recent showing, the Pirates uprooted Bauer for 8 hits and 7 earned runs in 3 innings. Maybe there are some things he doesn’t miss about Cleveland, but he did have a 3.79 ERA with the Indians. His ERA has since gone up to 4.34 overall on the year. Bauer has made three appearances on the road as a Red.

They didn’t go too well for him, as he was KO’d for a 14.25 ERA and 2.50 WHIP in 12 innings. It should go better for Bauer on Friday night, but it can’t really get any worse than that for him. In his last three outings, he’s been shaky for a 11.30 ERA and 1.81 WHIP, all losses on his resume. Bauer might be better, though the Cards are likely still going to be able to get to Bauer.

Dakota Hudson has been on fire and will have to cool off for the Reds to have a shot here. In his last three outings, Hudson has not allowed a single run. That’s 18.2 innings of scoreless baseball with only 7 hits allowed in total. Dakota has been at this best in St. Louis, where he has a 2.97 ERA compared to a 4.01 ERA on the road. The price on the Cards looks a little funny here, but I’m still willing to back them here with confidence.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.