Reds vs. Cardinals MLB Pick – August 31st

The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Cincinnati Reds in dramatic fashion with a Lorenzo Cain solo bomb in extras to get a 2-1 win. The Cardinals would have appreciated if the Reds came out on top, but they can get a win of their own over the Reds tonight. It looks like it’s going to be a tough chore for the Brewers or Cards to catch the Cubs. The Cards are in 2nd which puts them 4.5 back of the Cubbies. They’re fresh off a 5-0 win over the Pirates last night.

The wildcard race is raging on, though, with the Cardinals and Brewers assuming the final two spots. If the postseason began right now, the Cards would be hosting the Brewers for what would be an epic battle between NL Central rivals. There are a trio of ball clubs in reach, with the Phillies, Dodgers, and Rockies all close in the rear-view mirror.

The Dodgers fell to the Diamondbacks last night to help the rest out. They better look out, as they’re 3 back of the final wildcard and 2 games behind the D-Backs in the NL West. We’ll have a better picture there once that series is done at Dodger Stadium.

It’s amazing that the Cards are even in this position to begin with. They made the decision to fire Mike Matheny in July and it’s been the right move. It looked like the Cardinals were destined for a wasted season, but they’ve found some motivation, which seemed to happen soon after the firing. Mike Shildt has done a tremendous job with this club. He recently got the interim tag removed from his job description, as the Cardinals extended his contract and named him the manager. St. Louis have gone 27-12 since he’s been in charge of the ship. Homer Bailey will get the start for the Reds, while the Cards go with Austin Gomber. Head below for our free Reds vs. Cardinals pick and the rest of our writeup.

Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick

Homer Bailey (1-12, 6.12 ERA) vs. Austin Gomber (4-0, 2.79 ERA)

The Reds really hope they don’t have Homer Bailey in their rotation next season. He isn’t here because they him to be, their hand is forced, though. There aren’t many other options they can go with other than just throwing Bailey out there and hoping for the best. He was solid in his first two games back since going on the DL for a few months. However, it was short lived for Bailey, who watched his numbers start to tank thereafter.

He enters St. Louis with an ERA of 6.16 and 1.62 WHIP. In his previous three outings, he’s been shaky with a 6.06 ERA and 1.78 WHIP. That’s par for him, who hasn’t seen his ERA below 5.00 since 2014. If it weren’t for so many awful pitchers in the back-end of rotations, he’d be without a job. Bailey took a 9-0 loss against the Cubs in his most recent outing.

The Cardinals have demolished Homer for a .391 batting average and .444 OBP in 179 at-bats. Yadier Molina has had fun against Bailey, hitting .404 with 3 long balls in 47 at-bats. I don’t see how Bailey figures out the Cards tonight. It isn’t like he has been hot or anything. Gomber has been hot, though, with an ERA of 1.59 in his last three starts and 3 runs allowed in four. During that stretch, he’s surrendered just 4.25 hits per game. He faces a Reds team that is 1-7 in their last eight games. I’m back on the Homer Bailey fade train Friday night.

The Bet: CARDINALS -1.5 (-105)

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