Reds vs. Cardinals MLB Pick – September 1st

The Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals meet Sunday night for the second game of a doubleheader at Busch Stadium. There was also a doubleheader on Saturday, so this is a back-to-back doubleheader for the Reds and Cardinals this weekend.

There was already a doubleheader scheduled for this weekend, but a rainout Friday forced another doubleheader. It’s a unique situation in St. Louis. The Reds will have to sweep Sunday to just get a split in this series. The streaking Cards were winners in both games yesterday.

Trevor Bauer was nailed by the Cardinals’ offense in Game 1. Bauer was chased after 4 innings of work, having allowed 7 hits and 6 earned runs. He hasn’t been good at all for the Reds. All of the confidence he had in Cleveland has been sucked out of him in Cincinnati thus far.

Bauer seems to be glad that he isn’t a member of the Indians any longer, but he can keep telling himself that if it makes him feel better. It’s certainly not helping his numbers any. The Cards went on for a 10-6 win over Bauer and the Reds.

In the next game, the Cardinals got another win, albeit in a different manner. They rode the hot arm of Michael Wacha, as he outdueled Sonny Gray in a 3-2 win. Gray has been great for the Reds this season, but they’ve wasted the season he’s having.

Luis Castillo and Gray have combined for a nice 1-2 punch, though that hasn’t been enough for them to compete. Castillo gets the nod here, while Daniel Ponce de Leon will be in for the Cards in Game 2. Head below for our free Reds vs. Cardinals pick. Note that this is for Game 2 of the doubleheader.

Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick *Game 2:

Betting Odds:

  • Reds -117/Cardinals -103
  • O/U: 8

Pitching Matchup:

  • Luis Castillo (13-5, 3.21 ERA)
  • Daniel Ponce de Leon (1-1, 3.76 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Reds had high expectations for Luis Castillo this season after tailing off in his sophomore campaign a season ago. He did everything right in his rookie season two years ago, as he finished with a 3.12 ERA in 15 starts. Early success like that as a rookie puts added pressure on pitchers for the next season. Castillo regressed with an ERA of 4.30 in his first full season as a member of the rotation in the major leagues.

With that experience, Castillo has been able to have a breakout campaign in 2019. It hasn’t helped in the win-loss column, as the Reds are not going to the postseason. But Castillo and Gray have given Reds’ fans something to be excited about. They’ve been waiting a while for something to be excited about in their rotation.

Castillo closes out the weekend for the Reds tonight. He enters with an ERA of 3.21 and 1.14 WHIP. However, there have been some concerns regarding possible fatigue recently. He hasn’t been as dominant as earlier in the season. Castillo has posted an ERA of 7.71 and 1.41 WHIP in his previous three outings. He’s allowed at least 3 runs in three of his past four outings, which is a lot different than the run he was on for the first month of the season and for most of June.

The Cards have been able to get to Castillo with the deep ball previously. They’ve already hit 12 home runs against Castillo in 173 at-bats. That also includes 26 runs scored. There are four hitters in the lineup who have connected for 2 dingers against Castillo in his career. Also, Castillo hasn’t looked so elite on the road, where he holds a 3.83 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Ponce de Leon is coming off a bad showing in Houston, allowing 5 runs in 3 innings, but expect him to look better at home Sunday night. At this price at Busch Stadium, the Cards look like a good deal in this contest.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.