Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick – June 15

The MLB is set up with another strong slate of baseball on June 15. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Wednesday. One of these games will be between the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks. These two teams have been struggling this season, but will look for a big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 3:40 PM Eastern time.

Cincinnati has earned a record of 23-39 throughout this season, which has them in last place of the NL Central. The Reds have won three games in a row entering this one and will look to keep it going. Cincinnati has fallen twelve and a half games back on a wild card spot though. The Reds will look to continue to climb a bit in the standings with another win.

The Diamondbacks have put up a record of 29-35 so far on the season, which has them in fourth place of the NL West. Arizona has lost two games in a row and seven of their last ten. The Diamondbacks are seven and a half games back on a wild card spot. Arizona will look to bounce back with a big win at home on Wednesday afternoon.

These two teams have been struggling on the season, but still have time to turn it around. Neither team has a lot of expectations on the season, but will still look for a big win. The Reds have picked up their play as of late and will look to keep the winning streak going. Arizona will look to get back into the win column. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Cincinnati Reds +1 ½ (-195) +105 Over 7 ½ (-115)
Arizona Diamondbacks -1 ½ (+165) -125 Under 7 ½ (-105)

 

Team Data Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks
Overall Record 23-39 29-35
Away/ Home Record 11-22 14-18
Batting Average .240 .216
Batting Average Away/ Home .215 .209
ERA 5.15 4.22
ERA Away/ Home 4.89 3.80

Betting Trends

Cincinnati Reds

  • 6-8 in June games
  • 2-6 when playing on Wednesday
  • 10-15 in day games
  • 16-28 against right handed starters
  • 11-11 after a win
  • 1-2 after three or more straight wins
  • 14-11 against team with a losing record

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • 4-9 in June
  • 5-3 when playing on Wednesday
  • 11-16 in day games
  • 20-26 against righties
  • 15-19 after a loss
  • 15-14 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up six times on the season. The first four games were in Cincinnati between June 6-9. The Reds won the first two games 7-0 and 14-8, but Arizona bounced back with 7-0 and 5-4 wins. The first game of this set was won by Cincinnati 5-4. The Reds also took Tuesday’s tilt 5-3 in extra innings.

Offense

The Reds have struggled a bit hitting the ball this season. Cincinnati has a batting average of .240, which is 17th in the league. The Reds have posted a .310 OBP, which is 20th in the MLB. Cincinnati has earned an OPS of .690, which is also 20th in the league. The Reds have hit .237 against right handers on the season.

The Diamondbacks have struggled even more at the plate throughout the season. Arizona has a .216 BA, which is 29th in the MLB. The Diamondback have an on base percentage of .298, which is 25th in the league. Arizona has put up a .674 OPS, which is 24th in the MLB. The Diamondbacks have a batting average of .214 against righties this season.

Cincinnati has the edge at the plate in this matchup, which has shown throughout the season series. The Reds found success in late innings against Arizona in Tuesday’s game and will look to build on that momentum. The Diamondbacks will look to change things up entering this one. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Luis Castillo will likely get the start at pitcher for the Reds on Wednesday afternoon. Castillo has started in 7 games this season, going 2-4 in those matchups. He has posted a 3.23 ERA and a WHIP of 1.128 in his starts. Castillo’s last start was against the St. Louis Cardinals. He pitched six innings and gave up six hits and one earned run.

I expect Zac Gallen to get the nod on the mound for the Reds in this one. Gallen has earned a record of 4-2 throughout his 11 starts on the season. He has put up an ERA of 2.95 and a 1.069 WHIP in his outings. Gallen pitched an inning and two thirds in his last start against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up seven hits and four earned runs in the loss. 

These two pitchers have been solid this season. Gallen has struggled a bit as of late, losing his last two starts. Arizona has a slight edge in their bullpen in this one. The Diamondbacks relievers have a combined ERA of 4.39, which is 24th in the league. Cincinnati’s bullpen has a 5.02 ERA, which is last in the MLB this season.

Pick Overview

These two teams have struggled on the season, but will look for a big win in this one. The Reds have won the first two games of this set and will look for the road sweep on Wednesday afternoon. I think with Gallen on the mound though, Arizona will bounce back. If the Diamondbacks can get the bats going early, I think they can earn the win.

Bovada has Arizona listed as a -125 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Diamondbacks will win this game around 55.6 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate with Arizona at home trying to avoid the sweep. The Reds are due for a loss and I think it will come in this one. As slight favorites, I like the value on the D-Backs.

The Bet
Arizona Diamondbacks
-125
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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