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Reds vs. Diamondbacks Pick MLB – August 27th

We cashed a winner with the Pirates dispatching the Brewers last night be a 5-3 tally.  The win kept the Pirates hanging on the fringes of the wildcard race, keeping pace with both the Marlins and Cardinals who also won last night.  It’s going to be an uphill climb for Pittsburgh, but if they ARE going to make a fourth straight trip to the postseason, they are going to have to take care of business against teams like Milwaukee.  They get another crack at the slumping Brew Crew tonight with another favorable pitching matchup as rookie Jameson Tallion looks to keep his great start to his career rolling.

Elsewhere, there seems to be no derailing the Cubbies right now.  They won their fourth straight to pull to 19-4 in the month of August and the did it last night while giving their normal starting rotation the night off; Mike Montgomery got the no-decision as Kris Bryant’s heroics pulled them to the 6-4 ten-inning win in Los Angeles.  Bryant was serenaded by “M-V-P!” cheers, made all the more interesting by the fact the game WASN’T IN CHICAGO.

Let’s make it a big weekend.

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Today’s Free Pick:

Cincinnati Reds -112 at Arizona Diamondbacks +102 (Total: 8)

Anthony DeSclafani (7-2, 3.27 ERA) vs. Zack Godley (4-2, 5.33 ERA)

We’ve had some success backing DeSclafani and the suddenly “better than their record” Reds, and I’m looking at that well again this evening.  ‘Disco’ faces off against Zack Godley, who had an odd statline with a .667 record despite pitching for one of the worst teams in baseball and personally toting an ERA over five.  I think we are ripe for some regression to the mean theory tonight as the result that SHOULD have been more prevalent appears tonight.

The Reds lost 4-3 in extras last night, so their beleaguered bullpen got taxed a bit, putting even more of the stakes on DeSclafani’s shoulders.  His last few outings haven’t been great.  He has allowed nine runs in 18 innings, but in his ten starts this season he has only allowed more than three runs twice and he has gotten through six full innings all but once.  He is pitch-efficient and stays around the zone and challenges batters.

The same can’t be said for Godley.  He has two quality starts in his last ten outings and has been pretty inconsistent.  The Reds are hitting well, led by hottest hitter on the planter, Joey Votto.  I like them to score some runs off Godley and let Disco handle the rest.  They are a pretty good value tonight at basically even money with a large starting pitching advantage.

I’ll take the Reds to even the series with a road win tonight in Arizona.

Free Pick:  Cincinnati Reds to WIN -112