Reds vs. Dodgers Pick MLB – July 26th

It was a rough night last night after what started as such a promising evening.  The Cardinals jumped out to an early 3-1 lead, looking like the OVER was clearly in sight, only to have both offenses stall and sputter the remainder of the evening resulting in a frustrating loss.

I’ll try to bounce back tonight with a nice Friday night weekend starter.

Meanwhile in MLB action elsewhere, Jake Peavey picked up a win for the White Sox in a 7-4 triumph over the Tigers.  But could it be Peavey’s last win in a White Sox uniform??  Rumors are swirling around the talented, yet oft-injured fireballer’s future.  With the injury to Tim Hudson, Atlanta would seem an ideal mate, so stay tuned to all the action over the next five days as things shake out before the trade deadline.  Many of the moves forthcoming could really alter a team’s value proposition from a wagering perspective moving forward – it is certainly worth staying abreast and factoring in to future game analysis.

Let’s get to tonight’s action.

Cincinnati Reds +167 at Los Angeles Dodgers -178 (Total: 7.5)

Homer Bailey vs. Clayton Kershaw

The Reds snapped the Dodgers winning streak last night behind an outstanding effort from Mat Latos, beating Zack Greinke and company 5-2.  Tonight they will try to replicate the fate against the best (yes, the best, sorry Matt Harvey) pitcher in the National League, Clayton Kershaw.

Kershaw enters tonight leading the NL in both ERA and WHIP at 2.01 and 0.88 respectively.  He is 2-1 in his last three starts, though it is hard to imagine deserving a loss with a WHIP of 0.59 over that time period.  Meanwhile, Home Bailey has been less than wonderful since his no-hitter, going 0-3 with a 5.78 ERA and a WHIP nearing two.  He is going to have to be near-perfect tonight in order for the Reds to have a chance against Kershaw, who like most teams, has dominated the Reds throughout his career.

The Dodgers are 23-6 over their last 29 games, and though the Reds got them last night, it is difficult to see them making it two straight with Bailey opposing Kershaw.  The line of -178 isn’t a tremendous value, but given the way both respective pitchers have fared lately, the -1.5 runline at +130 is a nice value play.

The Reds offense has been scorching, but the old adage that momentum is only as good as the next day’s starting pitcher rings true tonight.

Give me the Dodgers to WIN as well as cover the -1.5 runline.

Free Picks:  Los Angeles Dodgers to WIN -178 & Dodgers -1.5 (+130)