Reds vs. Mariners MLB Pick – September 11th

A late push by the Seattle Mariners got them past the Cincinnati Reds by a score of 4-3 last night. Kyle Seager sent a blast to right field over the fence with a runner on to notch the go-ahead run for the Mariners. The Reds failed to respond in the top of the 9th, so the Mariners would go on to record their 59th win of the season. It was just their first win since September 1st.

They were on a six-game losing streak before Seager connected for 2 runs with one swing of the bat. This was after the Mariners got terribly embarrassed against the Houston Astros. The Astros pounded the Mariners for a 21-1 final score. Houston got a bit of their own medicine last night against the Athletics.

Seattle were able to save some face in their next outing, as Seager came through to deliver a 4-3 win for the Mariners. Also, Justus Sheffield pitched a gem of a game for the Mariners, as he allowed 1 earned run in 6 innings of play.

Big things are expected out of the former Yankee, who was acquired in the James Paxton deal. The Mariners are banking on the 23-year-old developing into a gem. We’ll find out very soon if the deal for Paxton was the right move for the Yankees. He will have pressure to perform in the postseason.

This season has been a major bust for the Reds. They traded for Yasiel Puig in the offseason and he isn’t even on the team any longer. The Reds sent him to Cleveland for Trevor Bauer after it was clear there wasn’t going to be a trip to the playoffs in 2019. Getting a big bat to help Joey Votto fell flat.

There have been positives to find this season, though. Most notably, Sonny Gray got his career back on track this year with the Reds. He is scheduled to get the nod tonight in Seattle against Marco Gonzales. Head below for our free Reds vs. Mariners pick.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Reds -145/Marliners +125
  • O/U: 8

Pitching Matchup:

  • Sonny Gray (10-6, 2.75 ERA)
  • Marco Gonzales (14-11, 4.37 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Sonny Gray’s struggles in New York feel like a distant memory now. Back in a smaller market, Gray has been thriving away from the limelight in the Bronx. He is poised to record a career-high ERA in 2019, but will need a hot run down the stretch to get there. Gray’s previous career-high in a full season was set in 2015 with the Athletics. He finished that year with a 2.73 ERA, so he’s a whisker away from topping that mark. Gray goes into Wednesday with an impressive 2.75 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.

He has been on fire recently and has shown no evidence of the guy that we watched play for the Yankees last season. Gray has posted an ERA of 1.45 and 0.96 WHIP in his previous three outings. Since August, Gray has been red-hot and has allowed more than 1-run in just one out of seven games. In that particular start, he gave up just 2 runs.

He finished August with a lights out ERA of 0.74 in six starts. In his lone start this month, Gray has a 1.50 ERA in 6 innings. The confidence that he lost with the Yankees is back in full swing in Cincinnati. Note that Seattle are hitting just .232 against righties in 2019. 27-year-old Marco Gonzales will be forced to keep up with Gray tonight.

He hasn’t been remotely close to Gray’s level this season or recently. Gonzales heads into this tilt at home with an ERA of 5.00 and 1.44 WHIP in his previous three outings. He’s surrendered 9 earned runs in his last 11 innings. Homefield hasn’t been much of an advantage for him, as he carries a 4.32 ERA and 1.27 WHIP at home into tonight. Expect a bounce back spot for the Reds in this one behind the hot arm of Sonny Gray.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.