Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins MLB Pick – August 2

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball throughout August 2. Sixteen games are up on the board throughout Tuesday. One of these games will be between the Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins. These two teams have struggled this season, but will look for a big win in this one. This game will start at around 6:40 PM Eastern time.

Cincinnati has earned a record of 41-61 throughout this season, which has them sitting in fourth place of the NL Central. The Reds have won three games in a row and are 6-4 throughout their last 10 games. Cincinnati is 14 games back on a wild card spot and are sellers at the deadline. The Reds will look to remain hot on the road though in this one.

The Marlins have put up a record of 47-56 so far on the season, which has them in fourth place of the NL East. Miami has lost four games in a row and are 3-7 throughout their last 10 matchups. The Marlins are eight and a half games back on a wild card spot. Miami will look to bounce back early at home in this one.

These two teams are sitting far outside of the playoff picture as we enter the final two months of the season. The Reds will look to step up early in this one as they try to remain hot. Miami will look to end their losing streak with a big win at home. If either team can come out strong, it could be enough to lead them to the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Cincinnati Reds +1 ½ (-195) +108 Over 7 ½ (-110)
Miami Marlins -1 ½ (+165) -130 Under 7 ½ (-110)
Team Data Cincinnati Reds Miami Marlins
Overall Record 41-61 47-56
Away/ Home Record 17-29 22-27
Batting Average .241 .237
Batting Average Away/ Home .226 .240
ERA 5.08 3.91
ERA Away/ Home 5.21 3.77

Betting Trends

Cincinnati Reds

  • 1-0 in August
  • 7-8 when playing on Tuesday
  • 25-37 in night games
  • 12-19 against left handed starters
  • 18-21 after a win
  • 3-4 after three or more straight wins
  • 19-17 against team with a losing record

Miami Marlins

  • 0-1 in August games
  • 7-7 when playing on a Tuesday
  • 27-35 in night games
  • 36-46 against right handers
  • 27-29 after a loss
  • 7-5 after three or more straight losses
  • 29-22 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up five times throughout this season. The first four games were in Cincinnati between July 25-28. Both teams won two games each in that first set. The Reds won the first game of this series on Monday night. Cincinnati has outscored the Marlins 26-15 in those five games so far.

Offense

The Reds have been solid hitting the ball on the season. Cincinnati has a .241 batting average, which is 16th in the MLB. The Reds have earned an OBP of .309, which is 20th in the league. Cincinnati has posted a .691 OPS, which is also 20th in the MLB. The Reds have a BA of .251 against lefties this season.

Miami has struggled a bit more at the plate this season. The Marlins have a batting average of .237, which is 22nd in the league. Miami has put up a .301 on base percentage, which is 25th in the MLB. The Marlins have earned an OPS of .675, which is 27th in the league. Miami has hit .243 against right handers.

Cincinnati has the edge at the plate in this one and will look to get their bats going early. The Reds earned eight hits and three runs in Monday’s win. The Marlins had five hits and one run in the loss. Miami will need to step up early in this one. If either team can hit well on Tuesday, it could be enough to grab the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Graham Ashcraft to get the start at pitcher for Cincinnati in this one. Ashcraft has started in 12 games this season, going 4-2 in those outings. He has posted a 4.64 ERA and a WHIP of 1.42 in those games. Ashcraft’s last start was against Miami. He gave up eight hits and three runs through six and two thirds innings in the no decision.

Braxton Garrett will likely get the  nod on the mound for the Marlins on Tuesday night. Garrett has earned a record of 2-4 throughout his 10 starts this season. He has put up an ERA of 3.96 and a 1.18 WHIP in those starts. Garrett pitched five innings in his last start against the Reds. He gave up seven hits and five runs in the losing decision.

These two pitchers have been solid this season and will look for a fast start on Tuesday night. Miami has the edge in the bullpen in this one. The Marlins relievers have a 4.00 ERA, which is 18th in the MLB. The Reds bullpen has combined for an ERA of 5.18, which is 30th in the league. Both teams will look for pitching to step up in this matchup.

Pick Overview

The Marlins are coming off a loss against Cincinnati, but I think they can bounce back in this one. Miami has the better pitching in this matchup. The Marlins will look for some bats to step up early. The Reds are also coming into this game during a trade deadline that has seen them ship off a lot of players, which can lead to some tension shortly after.

Bovada has Miami listed as a -130 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Marlins will win this game around 56.5 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate with Miami at home. The Marlins will look for an early lead in this one. As slight favorites, I like the value on Miami to earn the win on Tuesday night.

The Bet
Miami Marlins
-130
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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