Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins MLB Pick – August 3

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball action on August 3. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Wednesday night. One of these games will be between the Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins. These two teams have struggled a bit this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 6:40 PM Eastern time.

Cincinnati has posted a record of 42-61 throughout this season, which has them in third place of the NL Central. The Reds have won four games in a row and are 7-3 throughout their last 10 games. Cincinnati has fallen far out the playoff picture, but will look to bounce back in this one. The Reds will look to earn a big win on the road in this one.

The Marlins have put up a record of 47-57 so far on the season, which has them in fourth place of the NL East. Miami has lost five games in a row and are 3-7 in their last 10 matchups. The Marlins are eight and a half games back on a wild card spot. Miami will look to step up and earn the win on Wednesday night.

These two teams are sitting outside of the playoff picture and will look for a win in this one. The Reds have been hot as of late and will look to keep it going on Wednesday. Miami has struggled in their last stretch of games, but will look to bounce back at home. If either team can grab the early lead, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Cincinnati Reds +1 ½ (-130) +170 Over 7 (-105)
Miami Marlins -1 ½ (+110) -210 Under 7 (-115)
Team Data Cincinnati Reds Miami Marlins
Overall Record 42-61 47-57
Away/ Home Record 18-29 22-28
Batting Average .240 .237
Batting Average Away/ Home .224 .239
ERA 5.03 3.89
ERA Away/ Home 5.09 3.74

Betting Trends

Cincinnati Reds

  • 2-0 in August
  • 3-11 when playing on Wednesday
  • 26-37 in night games
  • 29-42 against right handed starters
  • 19-21 after a win
  • 4-4 after three or more straight wins
  • 20-17 against team with a losing record

Miami Marlins

  • 0-2 in August games
  • 7-8 when playing on a Wednesday
  • 27-36 in night games
  • 11-10 against left handers
  • 27-30 after a loss
  • 7-6 after three or more straight losses
  • 29-23 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up six times throughout this season. The first four games were in Cincinnati between July 25-28. Both teams split the first two games of the season series. The Reds won the first two games of this road set. Cincinnati has outscored the Marlins 28-16 in the first six games this season.

Offense

The Reds have been solid hitting the ball throughout the season. Cincinnati has a .240 batting average, which is 18th in the league. The Reds have posted an on base percentage of .308, which is 21st in the MLB. Cincinnati has earned a .688 OPS, which is 22nd in the league. The Reds have a BA of .237 against righties.

Miami has been struggling at the plate on the season so far. The Marlins have a batting average of .237, which is 22nd in the MLB. Miami has earned a .300 OBP, which is 26th in the league. The Marlins have put up an OPS of .673, which is 27th in the MLB. Miami has hit .214 against left handers this season.

Cincinnati has been better hitting the ball throughout this season and will look to keep it going. The Reds have earned 11 hits and 5 runs in the first two games of this set. The Marlins have 11 hits and 2 runs in these games. If either team can rack up some runs early, it could be enough for the win on Wednesday night.

Pitching Preview

I expect Mike Minor to get the start on the mound for Cincinnati in this one. Minor has started in 10 games this season, going 1-7 in those matchups. He has posted a 6.31 ERA and a WHIP of 1.58 in those games. Minor’s last start was against the Baltimore Orioles. He gave up four hits and two runs in the no decision.

Sandy Alcantara will likely get the nod at pitcher for the Marlins on Wednesday night. Alcantara has earned a record of 9-4 throughout his 21 starts this season. He has put up an ERA of 1.99 and a 0.94 WHIP in those outings. Alcantara pitched five innings in his last start against the New York Mets. He gave up eight hits and four runs in the no decision.

Alcantara lost his last decision and will look to get back in the win column. Minor has struggled this season and will look to run it around early. Miami has the edge in the bullpen in this one. The Marlins relievers have a 3.97 ERA, which is 17th in the league. The Reds bullpen has a combined ERA of 5.17, which is 30th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

These two teams have struggled this season and will look to step up early in this one. Miami has lost the first two games of this set at home and will look to bounce back early. The Marlins have the edge on the mound in this one and will look for their hitting to step up. If Miami can grab an early lead, I think they can get a dominant win.

Bovada has the Marlins listed as a -210 against the money line in this one. This implies that Miami will win this game around 67.7 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate, but has little value. The Marlins are also listed at -1 ½ for +110 in this one. I expect Miami to come out fast, which I think can lead them to earn a dominant win.

The Bet
Miami Marlins -1.5
+110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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