Reds vs. Rockies MLB Pick – July 12th

The Colorado Rockies tripped and stumbled to the finish line of the first-half. The good news is that it doesn’t mean anything and the most important finish line is a few months off. The bad news is that they have a lot of work in front of them if they want to be playing baseball in October. Colorado went to the NLDS last season after beating the Cubs in the play-in Wild Card Game. The Brewers stopped them before they could get any further, though. To match what they did last season is going to be tough, but certainly not impossible.

A record of 44-45 going into this weekend has them 2.5 games behind a wildcard. Doesn’t sound too bad, right? With a record of 44-45, they have to be feeling fortunate. Although, there are a lot of other average teams bunched around them vying to grab one of the wildcards as well. There are seven teams that are less than five games away from the play-in game, so there isn’t much room for error.

Losing six games in a row prior to the All-Star break does nothing to evoke much confidence in the Rockies. They started slow, got going, but reverted back to their old ways in the last week of the first-half. The Rockies were calendar watching and had their vacation plans already in their minds.

That’s not a good way to go into this part of the season, but again, they are well within striking distance. The offense is far too good to ignore them at this point, especially at home, where they will be playing host to the Cincinnati Reds. The Reds are a team who didn’t particularly have a sharp first-half, but are still within shouting distance of the postseason. They’re in the hyper competitive NL Central, where 1st and 5th is separated by 4.5 games. The Reds are last at 46-41, but they’re still in the hunt. Head below for our free Reds vs. Rockies pick.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Rockies -118/Reds -102
  • O/U: 12

Pitching Matchup:

  • Sonny Gray (5-5, 3.59 ERA)
  • Jon Gray (9-6, 3.92 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Rockies flopped down the stretch in the first-half, though Jon Gray was pitching well. With the Rockies in need of an ace, Gray has stepped up and given some good innings for the Rockies. He enters this weekend with an ERA of 3.92 and 1.38 WHIP. Gray is the only pitcher in the active rotation with an ERA below 4.00, so he has assumed the driver’s seat at the top of the rotation.

Having said that, pitching at Coors Field is incredibly difficult. It isn’t easy to have multiple guys with solid numbers in Denver. Gray hasn’t had many issues pitching at Coors Field. That is obviously against the curve. He holds an ERA of 3.35 with just one loss on his resume at home. My issue with Gray in this game is his history against the Reds. They have absolutely toppled Gray in 86 at-bats.

They’re hitting .407 with a .458 OBP, which includes 4 long balls and 13 runs. I think we’ll see Gray pitch well in spots, but eventually the Reds are going to catch up to him. Don’t expect to see Gray getting hammered, though there’s a solid chance he gives up a decent amount of runs to the Reds.

Cincinnati will be backed by Sonny Gray, who has had a resurgence of sorts in 2019. After flopping with the Yankees, he’s saved his career in Cincinnati. Sonny goes into Friday with a 3.79 ERA and 1.29 WHIP on the road. He flourished against the Brewers before the break, allowing 4 hits and no runs in 8 innings of play.

This likely isn’t going to be an easy night for him, though. He gets a Colorado offense who have scored nearly 7 runs per game at home, and are coming off a cooler prior to the All-Star break. I’m under the impression that they get back on track and start lighting up the scoreboard again in this one. Coors Field should live up to its reputation on Friday night, with a high-scoring final score of 8-6 or 8-7.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.