Reds vs. Rockies MLB Pick – July 13th

The Colorado Rockies stole one at Coors Field last night thanks to a 2-run inning in the 8th. The usually reliable Reds’ bullpen was tagged for 2 runs after David Hernandez allowed 2 solo shots to give the Rockies a lead. This was after Sonny Gray left the game after pitching 7 effective innings. Allowing just 1-run at Coors Field across 7 innings is an impressive feat. However, Jon Gray was just as good for the Rockies, and the Reds’ offense was neutralized.

Along with Hernandez falling victim to the deep ball, the Reds had two errors and a baserunning miscue to make the night more difficult on themselves. The Reds didn’t have the best first-half, but are still in the mix in the NL Central. They can’t complain about having a record of 41-47 and only 5.5 games behind 1st place.

Having said that, it puts them in 5th. Losing winnable games like last night have been a hallmark of the Reds this season. In the first game after the All-Star break, didn’t waste much time losing a close game that could have been theirs.

The Rockies need to turn their season around in the second-half. With the division out of reach, their focus turns to a wildcard in the National League. They managed to get by with a wildcard last season, setting up a win over the Chicago Cubs.

That was the only postseason game they’d win after getting swept by the Brewers, though. Last night’s win snapped a six-game losing streak for the Rockies, which dated back to June 30th, so it was their first win in July. Kyle Freeland will make his much anticipated return to the major leagues this evening. He will get a fresh start after bombing in the first-half.

Freeland was sent down to the minors to work on his craft, so we’ll see what the second-half brings him. We witnessed some ace like qualities in him in 2018 as a sophomore, but he got demoted down to Triple-A after getting shellacked on May 30th. The Reds’ Tanner Roark will start opposite Freeland in this one. Head below for our free Reds vs. Rockies pick.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Rockies -127/Reds +107
  • O/U: 14

Pitching Matchup:

  • Tanner Roark (5-6, 3.51 ERA)
  • Kyle Freeland (2-6, 7.13 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Kyle Freeland went down to Albuquerque and got his pitch straight, right? Not exactly. Freeland got hit hard in the minors as well, finishing with an ERA of 8.80 and 1.88 WHIP in 29.2 innings. The Rockies are hoping that a brand new start in the second-half can make the difference for him. Perhaps the time off this past week did him good. However, other than that, there hasn’t been any indications that he is ready to come back up to the major league level.

It’s disappointing for a guy who was the best pitcher on the Rockies a season ago. Freeland concluded his second year with an ERA of 2.85. Expectations were high for him in 2019, but he’s faltered significantly. Prior to going to Albuquerque, Freeland had a 7.13 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in the majors.

In three starts before getting demoted, he was horrific with a 15.58 ERA, 2.28 WHIP, and .521 OBA. Coors Field was a house of horrors for Freeland, as he was tackled for an ERA of 9.31 and 1.72 WHIP. His history against the Reds hasn’t been flashy, either. Cincinnati are hitting .327 with a .407 OBP in 52 at-bats against Freeland. That includes 4 long balls and 10 runs for the Reds. This looks like it’s shaping up to be an unfriendly welcome back to Coors Field for Freeland on Saturday.

Conversely, Tanner Roark has been quite efficient against the Rockies in his career. He has allowed just 1 long ball, which came against Trevor Story, and held the Rockies to a .220 batting average in 59 at-bats. Roark has been under the radar this season, with an ERA of 3.51 and 1.29 WHIP. He goes into Saturday with a 3.00 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in his previous three outings. The road hasn’t been difficult for him as well, with a 3.05 ERA in 41.1 innings. Coors Field is not going to be easy, but he should expect plenty of run support against Freeland. There appears to be value on the underdog in Denver tonight at Coors Field.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.