When things are going good, your team turns a double-play in the bottom of the ninth to preserve the win. When things are not going well, your team throws a walk-off wildpitch. So, um, yeah, I guess I am not going well.
The good news is that last night’s late-inning debacle only led to a push as opposed to an outright loss, but it is still frustrating to see five runs score in the final two innings when sitting on a comfortable UNDER winner. We will try to right the ship tonight with an overdue winner.
Speaking of overdue, is Johnny Cueto REALLY going to start tonight’s game in Colorado?? He is listed as the starter, the line is out, and no real trade partner rumors have surfaced regarding Cueto, but I’ll admit, I am real surprised to see him starting a game for Cincinnati on July 25th… I suppose there are still a few more hours until first pitch, but as of now, it’s one more go-round for the Rojos and Johnny Beisbol.
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Today’s Free Pick:
Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies (Total: 10.5)
Johnny Cueto (6-6, 2.79 ERA) vs. Chris Rusin (3-3, 3.88 ERA)
My aforementioned Johnny Beisbol commentary noted, tonight’s pick is obviously contingent upon Cueto actually starting the game. There’s no indication he will NOT, but please make any wagers on this game contingent upon him being on the mound – if he is scratched, make sure your play will go to no-action.
Alas, if Johnny is a go, then it is hard to see the run total getting out of control tonight. Yes, the Reds pen has had their troubles, and I can’t imagine any scenario where the Reds #1 trade chip goes past 100 pitches, but if he can give them his standard seven inning, two-run effort, then the TOTAL should remain safe.
Chris Rusin has been pretty good as well, ballpark considered. The young hurler enters with an ERA under 4.00. He has gone 0-3 with a 6.44 ERA on the road since beating the Reds in Cincy earlier this year, but the oddity of that stat is that his HOME numbers are actually excellent; the antithesis of a normal Rockies pitcher’s statline. I expect him to fare well enough today to keep the total in check as well.
I don’t usually go to the well two times in a row, but this total feels even more inflated than yesterdays. I’ll take a 4-3 type game and think we will notch a winner with a run or two to spare.