Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees MLB Pick – July 12

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball action throughout July 12. Sixteen games are up on the board throughout Tuesday night. One of these games will be between the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Yankees. These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look for the win. This game will throw the first pitch at around 7:05 PM Eastern time.

Cincinnati has earned a record of 32-54 throughout this season, which has them sitting in last place of the NL Central. The Reds have won four games in a row and are 6-4 throughout their last 10 games. Cincinnati is 14 games back on a wild card spot as we near the All-Star break. The Reds will look for a big win on the road in this one.

The Yankees have put up a record of 61-25 so far on the season, which has them in first place of the AL East. New York has lost two games in a row and are 5-5 in their last 10 matchups. The Yankees have a 14 game lead on the division and will look to extend it. New York will look to get back on track early on Tuesday night.

These two teams are far apart in the standings, but will look for a big win as they meet up on Tuesday night. The Reds have been strong as of late and will look to keep it going though. New York will look to bounce back after dropping their last two games. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Cincinnati Reds +1 ½ (+125) +250 Over 8 (-120)
New York Yankees -1 ½ (-145) -310 Under 8 (+100)
Team Data Cincinnati Reds New York Yankees
Overall Record 32-54 61-25
Away/ Home Record 14-26 34-9
Batting Average .240 .245
Batting Average Away/ Home .225 .234
ERA 5.29 3.04
ERA Away/ Home 5.29 2.63

Betting Trends

Cincinnati Reds

  • 6-5 in July games
  • 6-7 when playing on Tuesday
  • 5-7 when playing with a day off
  • 7-5 in inter-league games
  • 18-32 in night games
  • 24-37 against right handers
  • 14-16 after a win
  • 2-3 after three or more straight wins
  • 15-36 against team with a winning record

New York Yankees

  • 5-4 in July
  • 11-2 when playing on a Tuesday
  • 10-1 when playing with a day off
  • 4-1 in inter-league play
  • 42-16 in night games
  • 40-17 against right handed starters
  • 1-0 after allowing 10 or more runs
  • 17-7 after a loss
  • 26-9 against team with a losing record

These two teams last met up in the 2017 season. The two teams met up four times, with New York winning three of the four games over the season. The Yankees outscored Cincinnati 26-16 in the four games. New York is coming off a four game split with the Boston Red Sox in their last series. The Reds are coming off a three game sweep against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Offense

The Reds have been solid hitting the ball throughout the season. Cincinnati has a .240 batting average, which is 19th in the league. The Reds have posted an on base percentage of .308, which is 21st in the MLB. Cincinnati has earned a .687 OPS, which is 23rd in the league. The Reds have a BA of .236 against righties.

New York has been great at the plate so far on the season. The Yankees have a batting average of .245, which is 14th in the MLB. New York has earned a .327 OBP, which is 2nd in the league. The Yankees have put up an OPS of .771, which is 1st in the MLB on the season. New York has hit .246 against right handers on the season. 

The Yankees have been the better team hitting the ball this season and will look to step up early. New York will look to step up quickly at home to keep it going. Cincinnati has been solid as of late and will look to get some big hits early. If either team can get going early in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Graham Ashcraft will likely get the start on the mound for Cincinnati in this one. Ashcraft has started in 9 games this season, going 4-2 in those matchups. He has posted a 4.35 ERA and a WHIP of 1.289 in those games. Ashcraft’s last start was against the New York Mets. He gave up 10 hits and two runs through six innings in the no decision.

I expect Gerrit Cole to get the nod at pitcher for the Yankees on Tuesday night. Cole has earned a record of 8-2 throughout his 17 starts this season. He has put up an ERA of 3.26 and a 1.027 WHIP in his outings. Cole pitched six innings in his last start against the Boston Red Sox. He gave up five hits and five runs en route to the win.

These two pitchers have been solid throughout this season and will look to step up early in this one. Cole has won two starts in a row and will look to keep it going early. New York has the edge in the bullpen early. The Yankees relievers have a 2.74 ERA, which is 2nd in the league. The Reds bullpen has a combined ERA of 5.42, which is 30th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

The Reds have been solid as of late and will look to keep it going against the New York Yankees. The Yankees have struggled a bit in their recent stretch of games, but should be able to knock off Cincinnati at home. New York has the edge on the mound and at the plate in this one. If the Yankees can get the early lead, they should be able to win this one.

Bovada has New York listed as a -310 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Yankees will win this game around 75.6 percent of the time. I agree with this line, but there is little value in it. New York is also listed at -1 ½ for -145. I think the Yankees can attack the bullpen late in this game to cover this spread.

The Bet
New York Yankees -1.5
-145
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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