Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick – July 25

The MLB is set up with another strong slate of baseball action on July 25. Twelve games are up on the board throughout Monday night. One of these games will be between the Colorado Rockies and the Milwaukee Brewers. These two teams have been solid this season and will look for a win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 8:10 PM Eastern time.

Colorado has earned a record of 43-53 throughout this season, which has them sitting in fourth place of the NL West. The Rockies have lost three games in a row, but have gone 6-4 throughout their last 10 games. Colorado is seven games back on a wild card spot entering this one. The Rockies will look to bounce back on the road in this one.

The Brewers have put up a record of 53-43 so far on the season, which has them sitting in first place of the NL Central. Milwaukee has won three games in a row, but have gone 5-5 in their last 10 matchups. The Brewers have a two and a half game lead on the second place St. Louis Cardinals. Milwaukee will remain hot at home on Monday night.

These two teams have been solid this season and will look for a big win in this one. Milwaukee has been strong in their last stretch of games and will look to extend their lead on the division. The Rockies will look to step up on the road to bounce back in this one. If either team can come out quickly, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Colorado Rockies +1 ½ (-125) +156 Over 8 ½ (-115)
Milwaukee Brewers -1 ½ (+105) -190 Under 8 ½ (-105)
Team Data Colorado Rockies Milwaukee Brewers
Overall Record 43-53 53-43
Away/ Home Record 15-30 24-19
Batting Average .262 .238
Batting Average Away/ Home .234 .241
ERA 4.94 3.88
ERA Away/ Home 5.02 3.74

Betting Trends

Colorado Rockies

  • 10-10 in July
  • 4-6 when playing on a Monday
  • 28-31 in night games
  • 20-19 against left handers
  • 3-4 after allowing 10 or more runs
  • 23-29 after a loss
  • 7-5 after three or more straight losses
  • 18-24 against team with a winning record

Milwaukee Brewers

  • 9-9 in July games
  • 6-4 when playing on Monday
  • 31-24 in night games
  • 15-15 against left handed starters
  • 29-23 after a win
  • 6-9 after three or more straight wins
  • 33-23 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up three times throughout this season. Andrew McCutchen and Hunter Renfroe both had a home run as Milwaukee earned a 6-5 win at home. Renfroe had three more RBI’s in the second game as the Brewers won 9-4. Renfroe and McCutchen both had two RBI’s in Sunday’s game as Milwaukee won 10-9.

Offense

The Rockies have been solid hitting the ball this season. Colorado has a .262 batting average, which is 2nd in the league. The Rockies have earned an OBP of .325, which is 4th in the MLB. Colorado has put up a .733 OPS, which is 7th in the league. The Rockies have a BA of .288 against lefties this season.

Milwaukee has struggled a bit at the plate on the season. The Brewers have a batting average of .238, which is 21st in the MLB. Milwaukee has posted a .316 on base percentage, which is 13th in the league. The Brewers have earned an OPS of .728, which is 9th in the MLB. Milwaukee has hit .224 against left handers.

The Rockies have been the better team hitting the ball this season, but a lot of Colorado’s success comes at home. The Brewers have earned 35 hits and 25 runs over the first three games of this set. Colorado has 29 hits and 18 runs in those matchups. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Kyle Freeland will likely get the start at pitcher for Colorado in this one. Freeland has started in 18 games this season, going 4-7 in those matchups. He has posted a 4.96 ERA and a WHIP of 1.41 in those outings. Freeland’s last start was against the San Diego Padres. He gave up six hits and five runs through four innings in the no decision.

I expect Aaron Ashby to get the nod on the mound for the Brewers on Monday night. Ashby has earned a record of 2-7 in his 18 appearances this season. He has put up an ERA of 4.57 and a 1.49 WHIP in those games. Ashby pitched one inning in his last start against the San Francisco Giants. He gave up three hits and two runs in the loss.

These two pitchers have been solid throughout this season and will look to grab the win in this one. Ashby will look to shake off the loss in his last matchup, while Freeland has lost two of his last three games. Milwaukee has the edge in the bullpen. The Brewers relievers have an ERA of 3.93, which is 16th in the league. The Rockies bullpen has a 4.69 ERA, which is 29th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

The Brewers have won the first three games of this series, but will look to pull off the sweep in this one. Colorado has kept multiple games of this set close and will look to avoid the sweep with a win. The Rockies can match Milwaukee’s offense in this one. If Colorado can get a strong start from Freeland, I think they can get the win.

Bovada has the Brewers listed as a -190 against the money line in this one. This implies that Milwaukee will win this game around 65.5 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with Colorado looking to avoid the sweep. As big underdogs in this one, I like the value on the Rockies.

The Bet
Colorado Rockies
+156
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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