Rockies vs. Brewers Pick – April 6th

We look to get on the board today with a get-away day pick featuring the Brewers and Rockies.

We would have gotten on the winning side of the scoreboard two nights night with the Giants knocking off the Diamondbacks 8-4 in the second game of the year to even each team’s respective record at a win apiece.  The Giants got a great outing from their bullpen after Cueto was far from sharp in his season debut.  Johnny Beisbol allowed four earned runs in just five innings but managed to earn the win thanks to a five run top of the fifth (aided by an error) to surge the Giants ahead for good.  Alas, the run total went well over, and the lean Giants should have been the play.  Lesson learned.  Sometimes it’s better to take the easy money instead of getting greedy with the line…

We will look to get on the plus-side of the ledger today on get-away day for much of the NL schedule, and many of the games are day games.  If you like the lines on the Philly vs. Cincinnati, Colorado vs. Milwaukee, Chicago vs St. Louis or San Diego vs. Los Angeles – make sure to get your picks in early.  All are day games.

Today’s Major League Baseball Pick:

Colorado Rockies +112 at Milwaukee Brewers -121 (Total: 9.5)
Antonio Senzatela vs. Chase Anderson

The Rockies will send a 22-year old rookie to the mound for his first start above the AA level tonight looking to take their third win to close out a season-opening four game set.  Senzatela might be young, but his 1-84 ERA and 4-1 record at the double-A level and his 21 strikeouts against just three walks this Spring were all the Rockies needed to see to promote him to The Show.  He’s got filthy stuff, and I expect him to compete well today.

Opposing Senzatela will be veteran Chase Anderson.  Anderson posted a 4.39 ERA last year for the Brewers, but did finish strong with a 5-1 finish and a 2.56 ERA over his last 12 starts.  However, perhaps a little surprisingly, he wasn’t even certain to make the rotation this Spring until Matt Garza went down with an injury.  A season debut against the Rockies lineup is never easy, regardless of the ballpark.

However, I’ll take the day to belong to the pitchers.  It could be a real cold and miserable day in Milwaukee with temperatures in the 30’s.  I don’t expect the ball to be jumping, and perhaps the umps might have a little more liberal strikezone as EVERYONE wants today to be a literal “getaway” day.

Nine and a half runs is a pretty big cushion, so I’ll take the UNDER today and look to escape with a little breathing room, even despite a few less-than-great bullpens.

Today’s MLB Pick:  RUN TOTAL UNDER 9.5