Rockies vs. Diamondbacks MLB Pick – June 18th

The Colorado Rockies hit the road after a wild series over the weekend against the San Diego Padres. The Rockies and Padres set a record for most runs in a four-game series. They combined for 92 runs at the friendly Coors Field. Friendly to hitters, not so much to pitchers who got absolutely drilled in Colorado. That wasn’t the best advertisement for the Rockies as they try and recruit quality pitchers to sign in Denver.

No one wants to pitch under those conditions. Nolan Arenado was a smart dude to reup with the Rockies. He is going to have eight years to take advantage of Coors Field with juiced balls. I shouldn’t say that as gospel, but Major League Baseball haven’t been quick or adamant in defending the juiced ball claim. The Rockies had a day to step back and recover from that series, a series in which they lost two of three games. It probably should have been two, but the bullpen blew a 5-run lead late and they ended the weekend with a hard 14-13 loss.

That’s some kind of beat when the offense scores 13 runs and still manage to lose the game. No lead is safe at Coors Field, though, and Rockies have to close things out. It’s going to be awfully difficult to put a charge in their season and go on a run to catch the Dodgers in the NL West.

Focus should be on eyeing the wildcard at this point. The Rockies and Diamondbacks are even with a 10.5-game deficit in the division. They both don’t stand much of a chance and it’s not even the All-Star break yet. With that in mind, the thought of trading Zack Greinke makes sense. He is becoming a hotter commodity by the day, but the Diamondbacks are not going to give him away for free. Arizona might have something special in rookie Merrill Kelly. Kelly is getting a full workload this season and will be making his 15th start on Tuesday. Head below for our free Rockies vs. Diamondbacks pick.

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks -135/Rockies +115
  • O/U: 10

Pitching Matchup:

  • Antonio Senzatela (5-5, 5.48 ERA)
  • Merrill Kelly (7-6, 3.73 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Fortunately for the Rockies, they had the day off yesterday to get that loss on Sunday out of their systems. Blowing a 5-run lead and then 3-run lead in the top of the 9th had to sting. I know it stung for me and my bet on the Rockies. They’ll make a short trip to the desert for a three-game series.

The Rockies get no rest after Arizona, as they head to Los Angeles for a weekend series against the Dodgers. With a tough week ahead of them, losing at home to the Padres before going on the road wasn’t a good momentum booster. Rookie Merrill Kelly get the starting honors for the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. Kelly has been quite good for a rookie, as he enters with an ERA of 3.73 and has been showing major signs of improvement of late.

That’s all you want to see from a young pitcher and Kelly is delivering to the best of his ability. Kelly has allowed just 2 runs in 22.1 innings of work. That equates to an ERA of 0.81 and 0.63 WHIP. And note that his best work has come at home in the desert this season. He has a 2.35 ERA and 1.07 WHIP as opposed to a 4.95 ERA and 1.44 WHIP on the road.

It’s understood that the Rockies’ bullpen is likely going to be feeling exhausted after getting an extended look on the weekend. The relievers as a team own an ERA of 4.43 going into tonight. Senzatela will have the starting duties this evening. He’s coming off a rough affair against the Cubs, as he got smacked for 8 hits and 6 runs in his most recent start.

Senzatela goes into this one with an ERA of 4.50 and 1.56 WHIP in his previous three contests. He will be tasked with out-pitching Kelly, who has been feeling it for the Diamondbacks. The Rockies are just 15-19 on the road compared to 22-15 at home in 2019. Colorado have won the last five meetings against the Diamondbacks, but I can see them suffering a small hangover in the desert following that wild weekend at Coors Field.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.