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Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Pick – April 30th

What a wacky day in the National League! The Los Angeles Dodgers scored four runs in the bottom of the ninth inning including back-to-back home runs to walk off with the win against Philadelphia, the Cubbies scored five runs unanswered in the last four innings to come back and win against the Red Sox, setting up a fun rubber math tonight on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. Matt Kemp homered three times as the Braves tallied 11 runs and 20 hits in a romp over the Brewers, and the Rockies tallied three runs in the top of the ninth to come back and knock off the Diamondbacks 7-6 and open up a game and a half lead in the wild, wild NL West.

We can only hope for half as fun of a Sunday slate of action. The highlights on the schedule include Noah Syndergaard trying to lead the Mets to a series win over Washington, long-time teammates Bronson Arroyo and Mike Leake squaring off in St. Louis and the finale of the Rockies and Diamondbacks.

Let’s see if we can rebound after a slow weekend and cap it off with a winning play.

Today’s MLB Pick:

Colorado Rockies +128 at Arizona Diamondbacks -138 (Total: 9.5)
German Marquez (0-1, 18.00) vs. Patrick Corbin (2-3, 2.79 ERA)

Patrick Corbin probably deserves better than a 2-3 record after posting an ERA under three for the month of April, especially when considering he has the second-most prolific offense in the National League backing him up. His challenge won’t get any easier tonight facing the Rockies and their nearly-equally potent offense. Corbin is 5-2 in his career against the Rockies, but has done so on the strength of great run support, as he personally posted and ERA of 4.99.

Opposing Corbin is German Marquez, who has been optioned back up from Triple A to make today’s start. That isn’t an ideal situation for facing a team that has tallied close to five and a half runs a game so far this season and who owns an 11-5 home record.

Today has all the makings of a festive run-scoring affair. Not much has slowed either offense, and it feels pretty unfair to expect Marquez to be the guy who shuts down the D’Backs assault.

Nine of the last ten matchups between these two teams has gone OVER; impressive considering the run line is usually pretty lofty to begin with and they are STILL getting over it with regularity. Nine of the ten games not only went over but featured a minimum of 13 runs.

That make 9.5 quite a value number today.

Today’s MLB Pick: RUN TOTAL OVER 9.5

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