Rockies vs. Dodgers MLB Pick – September 17th

The most important series of the week is on the west coast in Los Angeles, as the Rockies and Dodgers meet for a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers have another critical meeting with a National League West foe next week, the Arizona Diamondbacks. It appears that this is going to come down to two teams, though. The Diamondbacks will have to work some magic if they want to storm back to top these two clubs.

The Diamondbacks have started to fade away while the they remain neck-and-neck for the divisional crown. There hasn’t been much breathing room, as the lead is just a half a game in favor of the Rockies going into this week. By Wednesday night the Dodgers could send the Rockies packing behind them in the standings.

After the Dodgers signed Manny Machado, the perception was that they were supposed to run away from the Rockies and Diamondbacks and lock the NL West up. It hasn’t been that easy for the Dodgers, though. It’d be a tremendous bust of a year for the Dodgers if they can’t find a way in the postseason. It’ll be a bust if they don’t go to the World Series, but it’d be especially dire if they aren’t even playing baseball in October.

If they do make it out of the National League, they’re going to have a very good team to beat whoever it is. This series is likely going to be the deciding factor in who is going to be representing the NL West in the postseason. There is also a wildcard up for grabs, which could go to 2nd in the division. The Dodgers are currently tied with the Cardinals for the final spot. It’s going to make for an exciting couple of weeks in Major League Baseball. Jon Gray and Hyun-Jin Ryu are expected to represent their respective sides in this matchup tonight. Head below for our free Rockies vs. Dodgers pick.

Colorado Rockies vs. L.A. Dodgers Pick

Jon Gray (11-7, 4.80 ERA) vs. Hyun-Jin Ryu (4-3, 2.42 ERA)

Ryu to wait a few months to hit the mound again in the major leagues, as he looks to make up for lost time in the most important time of the year. He’s been pitching well and hasn’t shown any discomfort following his return. Ryu hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in a start since returning. In four of the six starts, he’s given up less than 3 runs per start. In fact, dating back to the start of the season in twelve starts, he’s prevented teams from scoring 3 runs.

However, there is one slight problem for Ryu and the Dodgers in this game. The Rockies have an excellent history hitting against him. In 120 at-bats, they’re hitting .343 with a .420 OBP and 6 long balls. Nolen Arenado is responsible for half of the home runs. He’s made it look easy against Ryu, hitting .625 in 16 at-bats. Carlos Gonzalez is hitting .385 and Matt Holliday .500 against Ryu. Overall, the Rockies are hitting .270 against left-handed pitching. If there’s a game that the Rockies could steal in Los Angeles, this might be the one.

Although, Jon Gray is going into Dodger Stadium with an ERA of 5.14, 1.64 WHIP, and .369 OBA in his previous three outings. He just gave up 4 hits and 4 runs to the Diamondbacks in his last appearance. Gray has made it easy on the Dodgers to reach base, as his .350 OBA against them indicates. He’s allowed 6 runs in his last 9.2 innings vs the Dodgers. With all that considered, the total looks too low for me, so a play on the OVER looks like a viable option for Monday night in MLB.

The Bet: OVER 7.5 (+100)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.