Rockies vs. Dodgers MLB Pick – September 3rd

The Los Angeles Dodgers’ offense woke up in a big way last night, as they pounded the Colorado Rockies for a 16-9 win. Joc Pederson was on fire last night, leading the Dodgers with 5 RBI’s. Pederson hit two home runs, but also took himself out of the game after crashing into the outfield wall. It was a tremendous play, though he is now dealing with an abdominal contusion. That doesn’t seem like it’s a long-term problem, so Pederson may have dodged something that could have been much worse there for him.

When you look back at the schedule in March, this figured to be a big series between the Rockies and Dodgers. The Rockies hoped to improve on their solid 2018 campaign and take a run at the Dodgers in the NL West. There was reason to be excited after the season they came off and Nolan Arenado re-signing. Arenado may have had a slow start to the season, but he settled down and has been swinging the bat well since an early year hiccup. Arenado added another 2 RBI’s to his season total last night.

It’s just been a really frustrating year for him, though. When you look at it from a team perspective, the Rockies haven’t gotten the success that they were expecting in 2019. Regressing after making strides is always frustrating. Most of the problems have been due to an anemic rotation. There hasn’t been any consistency from them.

Kyle Freeland, who emerged as a factor in 2018 has been non-existent this season. We’ll see if they can bounce back with a solid 2020, but it isn’t happening in September. Chi Chi Gonzalez, another member of the Rockies’ abysmal rotation, will give it a go tonight at Dodger Stadium. On the other side, Julio Urias will be making his first start since July 30th. Urias was moved to the bullpen and was dealt a 20-game suspension following a domestic dispute. Kenta Maeda will head to the bullpen and take Urias’ spot. Head below for our free Rockies vs. Dodgers pick.

Colorado Rockies vs. L.A. Dodgers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Dodgers -250/Rockies +210
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Chi Chi Gonzalez (0-6, 8.07 ERA)
  • Julio Urias (4-3, 2.53 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

With German Marquez added to the IL, there was an opening for Chi Chi Gonzalez in the rotation. In a perfect world, Kyle Freeland and Marquez would both be active right now and guiding the Rockies to the postseason. Freeland is on the IL as well, but he’s been awful regardless. More of a liability than anything for the Rockies.

This is after he had a breakout campaign with an ERA of 2.95 last season. That brings us to Gonzalez, who doesn’t belong in the rotation, but the Rockies are down to few options. He will be searching for his first win of the season at Dodger Stadium tonight. Gonzalez also carries an 8.07 ERA and 1.82 WHIP into tonight.

There haven’t been any indications that Gonzalez is in an upward projection, either. He’s actually been struggling more recently. Gonzalez is coming off a terrible performance against the Pirates. He was KO’d for 7 hits and 7 earned runs without having recording three outs.

Gonzalez got just two outs before getting pulled out of the game. If he wasn’t so awful, the Rockies win the game. The final score was 11-8, so even if he’s bad and not terrible, the Rockies likely win. Gonzalez went longer in his outing before that, but still allowed 5 earned runs in 4.1 innings.

In his previous three outings, he’s posted an ERA of 11.45 and 1.91 WHIP. So, instead of getting better, he’s been getting even worse, which is ultimately going to destroy his chances of finding a way into the rotation next season. With the Dodgers heating up last night, in all likelihood, it’s going to continue against Chi Chi.

This will be Urias’ first start since July 7th against this Rockies club. He struggled having lasted just 2.2 innings and allowing 6 hits and 2 earned runs. The Rockies have had success against Urias before. They’re hitting .353 with a .431 OBP in 51 at-bats.

Arenado has mauled Urias for a .750 average and 4 RBI’s in 8 appearances at the plate. The offense must get going for the Rockies here if they want to pull the upset. In any case, there should be at least ten runs on the road by the end of tonight at Dodger Stadium.

The Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.