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Rockies vs. Dodgers Pick MLB – July 11th

It wasn’t easy, it wasn’t a no-stress win, but money is money and that’s what we got from the Dodgers last night. We needed a two out single from A.J. Ellis in the bottom of the 9th to tie things up and send it to extras. From there, the Dodgers and Diamondbacks struggled to make much noise until the top of the 14th inning, when the Dodgers went back-to-back with solo shots from Hanley Ramirez and A.J. Ellis, who came up big again. The D-Backs ended up going away quietly in the bottom of the 14th, which cashed our Dodgers -105 wager.

I was on a streak for quite a while where I was easily winning bets with no sweat, so I was definitely due for a game like this. Diamondbacks’ closer, Heath Bell, has been infamous this season with bettors for blowing leads, I finally got to experience one of those games, thankfully on the right side.

Free MLB Pick:

Colorado Rockies +145 at Los Angeles Dodgers -165 (Total: 8)

Drew Pomeranz (0-2, 9.72 ERA) vs. Chris Capuano (2-6, 5.19 ERA)

After cashing a Dodgers’ ticket last night, I am looking at another game of theirs Thursday night. This will be their first game back home after a long, successful road trip. Will they be able to keep it rolling at home? Well, they will have a great opportunity to do just that against a pitcher that has struggled to find any consistency in 2013. Drew Pomeranz’s outrageous ERA of 9.72 certainly indicates that. This won’t be the first time Pomeranz has played the Dodgers, as he had a meeting with them back in August of last year. In that game Pomeranz didn’t fair too well, allowing 5 runs and surviving for only four innings. Things haven’t gotten much better for him, as he has gotten clocked in most of his games, which I am dating back to last season. Pomeranz has only pitched three games this season, and both were train wrecks, leading to his high ERA of 9.72. His WHIP of 2.52 is a staggering number as well.

I got into the Dodgers’ offense more in-depth in yesterday’s article, so I am not going to get into it too deep, but just know that this is definitely not the same team we seen a month ago. A number of players are getting healthy, and it is showing with the results on the diamond.

Dodgers’ starter Chris Capuano can’t say much about Pomeranz, because he has been shaky, too. Capuano is particularly bad at home, which is kind of puzzling considering Dodgers Stadium is more of a pitcher friendly park, but he holds an ERA of 9.00 in 21 innings pitched at home. He has only given up one homer on the road, but has allowed six at home. The Rockies have been pretty lifeless offensively, but I believe they will be able to do some damage against Capuano. Also, there is a glimmer of hope that Troy Tulowitzski and Dexter Fower may start, both are listed as questionable.

The Dodgers should end up winning this game, and I think they will score plenty while doing it. I definitely like this low total of 8, though, so I am going to make the OVER 8 my official play with a lean on the Dodgers and team total OVER.

Free Pick: OVER 8