Rockies vs. Giants MLB Pick – September 26th

The San Francisco Giants won in typical Giants’ fashion last night, as they handed the Colorado Rockies a 2-1 loss. Solid pitching is how the Giants generally win ball games and Jeff Samardzija put on a show Wednesday night. Samardzija, who has been one of the most underrated pitchers in Major League Baseball, was shining bright against the Rockies. He allowed no runs across 6 innings of work.

Samardzija is not getting any recognition, but I’ve been following him closely and he’s had a heck of an arm. There are a few times out there who wish they probably entertained a trade for Samardzija. He would really be helpful on a contending team right now. Instead, his season has kind of gone to waste with the Giants in San Francisco.

San Francisco go into Thursday with a record of 76-82. Given their expectations in 2019, there isn’t anything wrong with that. It’s meeting expectations. The fact they pulled within a few games of going to the postseason near the end of July was a win in itself.

The Giants ended up hanging onto Madison Bumgarner, with what I presume, shows intention of wanting to sign him in the offseason. Their chances to go to the postseason were up in the air then, so if they were just retaining his services to go after a wildcard, it doesn’t look like a good move. It’s unlikely he takes a hometown discount to stay in San Francisco. This is his last opportunity to rake in a big money contract.

While this year went as expected for the Giants, the Rockies are signing the blues after expecting a lot more from their club. Following a trip to the NLDS in 2018, the Rockies enter Thursday at 68-90. Disappointing is one way to put it. Four of the biggest offseason signings were Bryce Harper, Mike Trout, Manny Machado, and Nolan Arenado.

Not one of them will be playing ball in October. Arenado did all he could, but a lack of pitching did the Rockies in. Kyle Freeland regressing sharply in 2019 is one contributor to that. He will get the nod against Tyler Beede tonight. Head below for our free Rockies vs. Giants pick.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Giants -128/Rockies +108
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Kyle Freeland (3-11, 6.84 ERA)
  • Tyler Beede (5-10, 5.23 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

I don’t want to put all of the blame on Kyle Freeland, because the Rockies’ problems go way deeper than just Freeland. However, Freeland’s fall from last season made significant waves this season. Freeland had a chance to emerge as an ace, something the Rockies were lost without this season, but he failed to seize the moment. Freeland posted a 2.85 ERA in his sophomore year after a 4.10 ERA as a rookie.

Any momentum he had was sucked out of him in 2019. Freeland goes into Thursday with an ERA of 6.84 and 1.59 WHIP in 101.1 innings of play. In his most recent start, the Rockies went with the bulk reliever method. Freeland pitched 2 innings and then was pulled following that. It worked against the Dodgers, as Freeland didn’t allow a run and the Rockies won as massive underdogs, 4-2. This will be his final outing of the year, so we’ll see if he makes the most of it.

Chi Chi Gonzalez is expected to enter the game after Freeland as the bulk reliever. Gonzalez has had his moments, but has generally struggled with a 5.68 ERA in 57 innings. The Giants have hit 5 home runs and scored 12 runs against Freeland in 121 at-bats. Colorado have been a way different team on the road this season. They don’t have the thin air to help them out on the road. The Rockies go into Thursday with a record of 28-52. That is one of the worst records on the road in the majors.

Tyler Beede was on his best run of the season before getting touched up for 6 earned runs in Atlanta. He won’t have to deal with the Braves in Atlanta here, though. Beede allowed 3 or fewer runs in his previous five games before the Braves got to him. Despite the bad outing, he’s been solid with a 3.12 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in his last three starts. Beede has been better at home, with a 4.02 ERA and 1.28 WHIP as opposed to a 6.08 ERA and 1.70 WHIP on the road. I’m siding with the Giants on Thursday. Freeland is always good fade material.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.