Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres MLB Pick – August 4

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball throughout August 4. Thirteen games are up on the board throughout Thursday. One of these games will be between the Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres. These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings in this one, but will look for the win. This game will throw the first pitch at around 4:10 PM Eastern time on MLB Network.

The Rockies have earned a record of 46-61 throughout this season, which has them sitting in last place of the NL West. Colorado has lost five games in a row and are 2-8 throughout their last 10 games. The Rockies have fallen out of the wild card race, but will look for a strong finish. Colorado will look for a better start on the road in this one.

San Diego has posted a record of 61-46 so far on the season, which has them in second place of the NL West. The Padres have won five games in a row and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 matchups. San Diego is eleven and a half games back on a wild card spot entering this one. The Padres will look for a big win at home on Thursday afternoon.

These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look for the win in this division rivalry. The Padres have been great as of late and will look to remain red hot after a huge trade deadline. Colorado has struggled and will look to get back on track with a big win. If either team can grab the early lead, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Colorado Rockies +1 ½ (+105) +225 Over 7 ½ (-115)
San Diego Padres -1 ½ (-125) -280 Under 7 ½ (-105)
Team Data Colorado Rockies San Diego Padres
Overall Record 46-61 61-46
Away/ Home Record 16-33 30-22
Batting Average .260 .242
Batting Average Away/ Home .232 .231
ERA 4.98 3.71
ERA Away/ Home 5.10 3.35

Betting Trends

Colorado Rockies

  • 0-4 in August
  • 4-7 when playing on Thursday
  • 22-25 against division rivals
  • 16-24 in day games
  • 24-38 against right handers
  • 26-34 after a loss
  • 8-6 after three or more straight losses
  • 21-31 against team with a winning record

San Diego Padres

  • 4-0 in August games
  • 6-5 when playing on a Thursday
  • 24-20 against divisional opponents
  • 21-20 in day games
  • 22-14 against left handed starters
  • 34-28 after a win
  • 8-8 after three or more straight wins
  • 38-24 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up 15 times throughout this season. The first four games were split 2-2 in San Diego. The Rockies swept the next set with three wins at home. The next four were also in Colorado, where the Rockies won three of the four. The Padres have won the first four games of this five game set. San Diego has outscored Colorado 75-71.

Offense

Colorado has been strong at the plate this season. The Rockies have a batting average of .260, which is 2nd in the league. Colorado has put up a .323 on base percentage, which is 5th in the MLB. The Rockies have earned an OPS of .726, which is 10th in the league. Colorado has hit .251 against righties this season.

The Padres have been solid hitting the ball as well on the season. San Diego has a .242 batting average, which is 16th in the MLB. The Padres have earned an OBP of .319, which is 9th in the league. San Diego has posted a .702 OPS, which is 17th in the MLB. The Padres have a BA of .245 against left handers.

The Rockies have been solid with the bats in their hands, but a lot of their success has come at home. Colorado has earned 31 hits and 9 runs over the first four games of this set. San Diego has posted 41 hits and 26 runs in those same games. The Padres will look to remain hot. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Kyle Freeland will likely get the start at pitcher for the Rockies in this one. Freeland has started in 20 games this season, going 6-7 in those outings. He has posted an ERA of 4.63 and a 1.34 WHIP in those matchups. Freeland pitched six innings in his last start against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He gave up six hits and three runs in the winning effort.

I expect Joe Musgrove to get the nod on the mound for San Diego on Thursday afternoon. Musgrove has earned a record of 8-4 throughout his 18 starts this season. He has put up a 2.65 ERA and a WHIP of 0.99 in those starts. Musgrove’s last start was against the Minnesota Twins. He gave up four hits and two runs through six innings in the loss.

Musgrove has been the better pitcher this season, but he has lost his last four decisions entering this one. Freeland has won his last two starts and will look to stay hot. The Padres have the edge in the bullpen though. San Diego’s bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, which is 13th in the league. Colorado’s relievers have an ERA of 4.69, which is 29th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

The Rockies have dropped the first four games of this five game set and will look to avoid the sweep. Colorado has struggled to get their bats going, but I think they will step up in this one. If the Rockies can chase Musgrove early, they could gain a big edge. Colorado will also need Freeland to remain hot in this one.

Bovada has the Padres listed as a -280 against the money line in this one. This implies that San Diego will win this game around 73.7 percent of the time. I think that this line should be much closer to even in a divisional game. Colorado has had some success against the Padres this season and I think they will keep this game close. I like the Rockies with the extra run.

The Bet
Colorado Rockies +1.5
+105
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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