The Minnesota bullpen let us down in a major way yesterday, allowing seven runs in the final three innings in a 11-7 loss at Pittsburgh. It was looking good to stack another nice slight-underdog winner, but alas, baseball is a crazy game. Every season we get a few thrilling wins and a few perplexing defeats. It could have been worse. We could have been counting our fat underdog money on the Reds, only to have Rasiel Iglesias, who entered with a 0.61 ERA, allow a big fat grandslam in a six-run, game-winning eight inning melt down.
Alas, we have a new week and tons of new matchups to choose from (though many teams are off for travel today as well), so let’s get back on the grind and start a new winning streak.
Today’s MLB Pick:
Colorado Rockies +130 at Pittsburgh Pirates -140 (Total: 9)
Kyle Freeland vs. Jameson Taillon
Jameson Taillon is officially listed as coming off the Disabled List for “groin discomfort” in what might be the most awkward understatement in DL list history. Not discomfort. CANCER. Surgery to remove CANCER. So, let me start by saying, I take NO PLEASURE in betting against a talented young pitcher who just beat cancer to retake the mound. It will be an emotional night for him and his family tonight at PNC, and will be easily the least disappointed I have been to lose a wager all season long, should we come up short.
That said, the Rockies are BEASTS on the road, and Kyle Freeland has been excellent this season. He has held opponents to one or less run in six of his twelve starts this season. Add in the fact the Rockies are far from Coors Field-wonders this season, ranking sixth in road runs scored in all of MLB, and it is hard not to like the road plus-money value of Colorado this evening.
Both Taillon and Pirates’ manager Clint Hurdle insist that he is not on a pitch count tonight, but it is hard to see the Pirates not being conservative with their young prized hurler. He has top of the rotation potential for a long career, so I expect him to be five or six innings max.
The Rockies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games and have been the most profitable road wager in the National League in 2017. The Pirates are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games and 2-8 in their last ten at home.
I’ll take the plus-money underdog in a favorable matchup at PNC Park.
Today’s MLB Pick: COLORADO ROCKIES TO WIN +130