After lighting things up at the plate in game 3 against the Royals, the Blue Jays received a dose of the same in game 4. The Jays are now a game away from going home and the Royals are a game away from heading to the World Series, back to where they were last season. In the National League, the Mets are a game away from reaching the World Series as well. It is looking like an unlikely matchup in the World Series with the Royals and Mets. Anyone pick both of these ball clubs to meet one another? Although, any of the remaining teams, other than the Royals, were big dark horses to reach the World Series before the season started. That changed though when the Blue Jays jumped into the equation by acquiring the weapons they did. However, if they don’t win the World Series it was all for nothing. David Price is looking like a rental, so he could be gone in the offseason. The Blue Jays knew that, their fans knew that. The Jays went all-in, but going all-in doesn’t always work out, as us gamblers have come to find out.
The Blue Jays were in three elimination games in the previous series against the Rangers and fought all the way back to win. If the Jays want to move on to the World Series, they are going to have to win a total of six elimination games. That is quite the chore, but with their offense it is certainly possible for them to erase this lead by the Royals. I’m not going to count them out before the Royals are celebrating their way to the World Series. They get another shot at Edinson Volquez who absolutely took them for a ride in game 1. It was a heck of a game that never had a good start against the Blue Jays in the past. Conversely, Marco Estrada will look to do something he couldn’t do in game 1. Rematch here between Volquez and Estrada in game 5 of the ALCS in Toronto.
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Edinson Volquez (14-10, 3.48 ERA) vs. Marco Estrada (11-11, 3.13)
Note that this game is at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, I don’t want anybody confused. Game 5 is in Toronto with game 6 and 7 back in Kansas City if necessary. It makes it even more difficult for the Blue Jays, as even if they win this game they’ll need to fly back to Kansas City and need to win two more games. Last night was embarrassing for the Blue Jays, it had to be. They finished the contest with a reserve infielder, Cliff Pennington pitching on the mound. The Blue Jays didn’t want to exhaust their bullpen for today, I get that, but it wasn’t the way the Jays had yesterday written up.
Volquez pitched out of his mind in game 1. The Blue Jays couldn’t muster up a single run against him. They couldn’t even really get on base really. But like I said, that was his only solid start against the Jays. He was 0-6 before that start and had an ERA over 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.70. I don’t know if he can pull another performance like that out of his hat. You have to think that the Jays get to him here. In a must-win situation and getting embarrassed last night, this game should resemble the lifetime 6.46 ERA Volquez had against the Jays.
PICK: BLUE JAYS TO WIN -140