Royals Mets Pick – World Series Game Three

There are two ways to look at the World Series heading into tonight’s game. There is the pro-Royals (or drama-pessimistic) path: The Royals don’t swing and miss, neutralizing the Mets fireballers, they are up 2-0 and have already beaten Harvey and deGrom, and they are a virtual lock to win their first World Championship in 30 years.

Or there is the pro-Mets (pro-intrigue) path: The Mets lost two road games but now they are coming home. Their top two pitchers lost, but they have the ‘on-paper’ pitching edge in the next two games with Syndergaard over Ventura and Matz over Young – and in theory, own the pitching edge the remainder of the series, especially with the uncertainty surrounding Edinson Volquez after the sad untimely passing of his father. This series hasn’t even BEGUN yet.

I think I am in the second camp. Not necessarily “Pro-Mets” but certainly not thinking this series is anywhere CLOSE to over quite yet.

Of course, this whole conversation is moot if Syndergaard can’t get it done tonight and if the Mets bats can’t get to Yordano Ventura. So let’s dig into tonight’s all-important Game Three and find a winning edge.

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Today’s Free Pick:

Kansas City Royals +130 at New York Mets -140 (Total: 7) – World Series Game Three

Yordano Ventura vs. Noah Syndergaard

Ventura’s stuff is right in line with the heralded top three of the Mets rotation. However, his result still aren’t. His postseason hasn’t been too far removed from his erratic regular season at 0-1 with an ERA over 5. He will need to be sharper tonight if he wants his team to keep their foot on the throats of the Mets.

Opposing him is young Noah Syndergaard, the third straight absolute flame-thrower the Royals will have to face. Yes, the Royals hit 95 mph-plus pitching better than any other team in baseball. That stat has been bandied about everywhere this week. But it still doesn’t mean 95 mph-plus pitching is EASY for them to hit. They simply do it better than other teams. It doesn’t mean it is a mere batting practice session for them. It’s still REALLY tough to do, and I expect it to be really tough to do tonight in Citi Field. Plus, there’s 95+ and there is the 22 pitches that Syndergaard has thrown at 100 mph or greater already in the Postseason. That’s a whole new level of heat.

Daniel Murphy hasn’t gone yard in the World Series, but he is still seeing the ball real well. He has two hits in the series and has reached base four times. The entire Mets were stymied by Cueto’s Game Two brilliance. I don’t think they will see anything close to that level of command tonight and I expect them to get the bats warmed up.

I’ll take the Mets behind Syndergaard to win tonight and set up an enormous Game Four matchup with each team’s last starter hurling in a must-win game.

Free Pick: New York Mets to WIN -140