Royals vs. Mariners MLB Pick – June 18th

This season hasn’t gone according to the plan for the Mariners in 2019. They’ve already folded their hand and traded away a sought-after hitter in Edwin Encarnacion. Consider where they’re at in last by a wide margin in the AL West, it wasn’t a bad move by the Mariners in that sense. Trading for him in the first place was kind of a confusing move.

They were in denial that they aren’t contenders and trading for Encarnacion isn’t going to mean much. Felix Hernandez may need to sign a one-year contract with a contending team if he wants to search for a World Series. His contract is expiring and he can either retire or look for a team to sign with.

Presumably, Hernandez would only sign with a team where he has an opportunity to go to the postseason and go out as a winner. It’s not going to be for a lot of money, though, because Hernandez has regressed significantly and he’s been going through injuries. In any event, someone may take a flier on him, but he may not have any gas left in the tank after pulling himself in a rebab game in the minors recently.

The Mariners have nowhere to go but down after saying they give up and it’s only June 18th. Losing to a team like the Royals at home immediately after doesn’t help any. They will bring a record of 31-45 into Tuesday night against the Royals.

Seattle have traded wins and losses recently, with a win and loss pattern in each of their previous ten games. If that holds up, they’re going to win tonight against the Royals. However, as you probably know, betting patterns like that in roulette doesn’t usually work out too well, nor will it in sports. The Mariners will send out Yusei Kikuchi as their starter this evening, while the Royals will counter with veteran Homer Bailey. Head below for our free Royals vs. Mariners pick.

K.C. Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Mariners -130/Royals +110
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Homer Bailey (5-6, 5.37 ERA)
  • Yusei Kikuchi (3-4, 4.78 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Yusei Kikuchi is in his first season as a rookie in Seattle. The Mariners aren’t just getting his feet wet, but they threw him into the pool and are hoping he can swim. He’s taken his lumps and has also enjoyed some nice outings. When he has gotten drilled, Kikuchi has taken a hard beating. Kikuchi went through a three-game stretch recently where he gave up 29 hits and 16 earned runs in 10 innings of work.

That is horrendously terrible and is responsible for skewing his numbers up to a 4.78 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. He did bounce back against the Twins, though allowing 6 hits and 2 walks with just 1-run on the board. I will say he had to dig himself out of trouble before allowing things to blow up, however. He enters with an ERA of 10.03 and 2.74 WHIP in his previous three games.

Everything blew up on the Mariners after he left, as the Twins hammered Seattle for a 10-5 final. The Mariners’ bullpen cannot be trusted. They’re 28th in the major leagues with an ERA of 5.42. The Orioles and Nationals are the only two teams in baseball who have a worse group of relievers. KC aren’t too far behind, but look much better with their 4.90 ERA.

The Mariners might need the bullpen to pitch well if they can get to Homer Bailey like they have in the past. The current Mariners are hitting .333 with a .400 OBP against Bailey in 36 at-bats. Bailey has been pitching better than anticipated, I suppose. If you’ve followed him over the past few years, then you know that his ERA of 5.37 isn’t horrible.

He hasn’t seen his ERA below 6.00 since 2015 and he only appeared in two games that year, so the Royals are happy getting an ERA of 5.37 out of him. That said, he’s struggled on the road, having posted an ERA of 6.75 and 1.68 WHIP in 22.2 innings this season. Both starting pitchers in this matchup make it difficult to feel confident in either team in this spot. Coupled with their erratic bullpens, the OVER appears like the play in Seattle on Tuesday night.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.