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Royals vs. Mets Pick MLB – August 4th

The Los Angeles Dodgers kept on steam rolling over the rest of Major League Baseball yesterday, shutting the Cubs out 3-0. The Dodgers’ win also gave us a win on the ML. We’ve been hot as the Dodgers here at the blog, continuing to churn out winners on a regular basis. I’ll have to look into it, but I think I only have one or two losing days on Saturday’s this baseball season. It’s time to hit another winner on Sunday as we inch closer to the start of the football season. If you really have a bad itch to wager on some football, the NFL preseason begins today with the Hall of Fame Game.

Free MLB Pick:

Kansas City Royals -150 at New York Mets +130 (Total: 7.5)

Ervin Santana (7-6, 3.03 ERA) vs. Zack Wheeler (4-1, 3.55 ERA)

Is there anyone out there besides gamblers that have a vested interest in this series? Outside of a few Royals and Mets fans, I am fairly certain that not too many people have been paying attention. Nevertheless, money doesn’t know if you won it from the Super Bowl, a preseason game, or from a Royals vs. Mets game. What I see when I look at this game is dollar signs, not a meaningless game. If you haven’t already noticed, all the Royals and Mets are playing for is pride for the rest of the 2013 campaign.

The Royals do have themselves a nice center piece in the rotation that they can build around. Ervin Santana has been quite great with the Royals in another disappointing year for the team as a whole. If you see the Royals as big favorites chances are Santana is on the mound. He’ll have the opportunity to put forth another good start against a Mets team that has struggled greatly to score runs. In addition, the Mets tend to have trouble against right-handed pitching, posting a .230 BA in this respect. The Mets shouldn’t be too thrilled to find that Santana is a righty on fire. In Santana’s last three starts he has tossed a low ERA of 1.21. Mind you two of those starts were against the Orioles and Tigers, two offenses that can go wild on any pitcher. His OBP to opposing hitters has been great as well, allowing them to get on at a .210 clip.

The Mets will counter with another right-hander of their own, Zack Wheeler. Wheeler isn’t having a season like his teammate Matt Harvey, or Ervin Santana, but he has been more than serviceable. Wheeler only started pitching in the starting rotation on June 18th, but has asserted himself well in it. The last game Wheeler has had an ERA of over 4 in a game was back on June 30th, where he gave up 5 to the Nationals. The number from that game raises his home ERA significantly (5.87), as his other two home starts have been pretty solid against the Braves and Phillies.

I can see Wheeler holding the Royals to 4 or 3 runs in this spot, but that shouldn’t be enough as Santana has a definite chance at making life even more miserable on the Mets’ hitters. Consequently, I find it difficult to see this contest being very high scoring, so the posted total of 7.5 looks like it’ll stay under.

Free Pick: UNDER 7.5