The sweetest thing to a bettor with money on the under is a boring game. Actually let me rephrase that, one of the most exciting things to a bettor with money on the under is lots of groundballs and pop-ups. That is exactly what we got on Wednesday night from starting pitchers Jarred Cosart and Jarrod Parker. They delivered shutout baseball for 6 innings until Parker allowed a solo shot to Cris Carter. The A’s tied it up immediately in the bottom of the 7th, but lost it in 11 innings, 2-1. The game unfolded exactly how we predicted, so it was a no sweat win from the start. Totals have been oh so kind to us in 2013.
Free MLB Pick:
Kansas City Royals +170 at Detroit Tigers -185 (Total: 8.5)
Jeremy Guthrie (12-8, 4.10 ERA) vs. Anibal Sanchez (10-7, 2.58 ERA)
What more is there to say about Miguel Cabrera? The guy is a flat out beast, but I didn’t need to tell you that. Even with an injury, Cabrera has been destroying the ball with no issues at all. I argue that he is better than 97% of Major League players even when he is playing at 80% health. He is producing at a pace that may earn him a spot among the elites of all time when it is all said and done. Cabrera and the Tigers will have the ever reliable Aninal Sanchez to assist them in their quest for a win Thursday night at home in Detroit.
Sanchez has looked like an absolute steal for the Tigers since acquiring him from the Miami Marlins a season ago. Sanchez is holding steady with a terrific ERA of 2.58 and 1.13 WHIP. His latest productive start came on Saturday against the New York Yankees, where he held them to only 2 runs and 4 hits. In fact, that was the second consecutive game where Sanchez held his opponents to 2 runs on 4 hits. He did that against the Indians on August 5th as well. Sanchez was even better three starts ago against the Nationals, holding them to only 1 run in 7 innings pitched. His ERA in that span comes in at 2.08 with a spectacular .217 OBP and 0.83 WHIP. His home splits match his output from his last three starts with a 2.08 ERA. Sanchez has also surrendered only 1 home run at home in 2013.
The Royals will send out Jeremy Guthrie, who is about as vanilla as you’ll find in MLB this season. Guthrie is what he is, a pitcher that has etched out a nice career as a middle of the rotation kind of guy. He has the potential to churn out a great start, but also is susceptible to taking a beating. Just take a look at this numbers from this season and you’ll know what I mean. You can find many games with 5 runs allowed, but then there are some 1 and 2’s thrown in there, too. Consistency is not the name of the game for Guthrie. He has had some rough games on the road, with an ERA at 4.14, and worst of all, 16 dingers allowed pitching away from Kansas City. Guthrie also has issues keeping runners off base, as his .355 OBP and 1.50 WHIP show.
The Tigers were one of the hottest teams in baseball winning 12 straight games, but had some trouble with the Yankees and White Sox recently. They finished up with a victory against the White Sox yesterday thanks to another monster game from Miguel Cabrera. I think the Tigers get back on a roll starting tonight against Guthrie and the Royals. The Tigers should have no trouble against this right-hander, where they are hitting .280 against. The ML of -185 is too pricey for me, but I’ll be on the RL Thursday night.
Free Pick: Detroit Tigers -1.5