Royals vs. Twins MLB Pick – September 21st

The magic number is down to five for the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. With a week left in the regular season, the Twins have nine games to win find five wins. That’s if the Indians were to win out. They can get some additional help with the Indians losing this weekend and next week as well. The schedule is shaping up brilliantly for the Twins.

They play just two teams on the rest of their regular season schedule. The Royals this weekend, the Tigers during the week, and then they’re in Kansas City next week for another series against the Royals. While this is their finale home series in Minnesota, having to go to Detroit and KC is not going to be too intimidating.

I don’t want to say it’s a lock, but this is looking extremely favorable for the Twins. It would have to take an epic collapse to blow this, and at that point, their confidence would be shot. There haven’t been any indications of an impeding collapse, though. The Twins have gone 4-1 in their previous five games and 6-2 in their last eight outings. Two of those wins were against the Indians, so they’re in great shape over their AL Central rival.

The Twins edged out the Royals with a 4-3 win last night. It was probably closer than the Twins wanted, but a 1-run win counts all the same for them. The bullpen allowed the game to get interesting in the 8th inning. With a 4-1 lead, the Royals tacked on 2 runs to make it a close call in the end.

Trevor May was perfect in the 9th to close the game out, with three strikeouts to slam the door closed on KC. 2x All-Star Jose Berrios is scheduled to get the starting nod for the Twins against Glenn Sparkman tonight. Head below for our free Royals vs. Twins pick.

K.C. Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Twins -320/Royals +255
  • O/U: 10.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Glenn Sparkman (4-11, 6.02 ERA)
  • Jose Berrios (13-8, 3.58 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

There has been no consistency out of Glenn Sparkman this season. Most of it has been bad performances by Sparkman and he has to deal with a high-powered Twins’ offense this evening. They were quiet last night as well. It typically isn’t easy to keep the Twins’ bats cool in consecutive nights.

In 13 of Sparkman’s last 21 starts, he’s been whipped for a 10.36 ERA and record of 0-8. There is absolutely no consistency to find in there. Also note that Sparkman has gotten drilled for a 7.42 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in his previous three outings.

To make matters worse, two of those three games were against the Tigers and White Sox. And on top of that, Sparkman hasn’t had much of a clue pitching as a visitor on the road in 2019. In his first season in the rotation for the Royals, he’s gotten pummeled for an 8.57 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in 55.2 innings on the road.

When will the bleeding stop? Well, it’s unlikely to stop in Minnesota. Sparkman has struggled against the Twins in his career, as they’ve hit for a .282 average and 15 runs scored vs him in 85 at-bats. There are four hitters on the Twins’ roster who have connected for a batting average of .400 or greater. Sparkman is going to have to dig really deep if he wants to find a way to finish the season strong.

There is some bad news for the Royals’ offense on Saturday, too. Jose Berrios is getting back into All-Star form, as he’s yielded just 2 runs in his last 14.1 innings pitched. Along with just 2 earned runs, Berrios has allowed only 7 hits during those two showings. His most impressive was an appearance against the Nationals in a 5-0 win. Berrios surrendered no runs and only 2 hits in 7 innings.

He’s felt right at home in Minnesota, with a 3.25 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 91.1 innings. I don’t think Berrios will have to be perfect against Sparkman in this one, but he will likely have a productive evening anyway. The Royals shouldn’t pose too much of a problem for the Twins on Saturday. Look for a bigger win for the Twins than yesterday. With that in mind, the runline on the home team looks like a solid option.

The Bet
TWINS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.