Royals vs. Twins Pick – MLB September 7th

The Kansas City Royals have been attempting to stage a comeback for the ages. Thanks to a monster run for the last month, the Royals are creeping up and threatening to play in the Wild Card Game. I guess, you can never discount this team, right? A month ago the Royals were dead in the water, and now they’re climbing out of a hole and can see the light. The Royals are still 4.5 games back, but this is a reachable goal in the coming month, if they can keep it going. Up 10-3 in the 9th inning on the Twins at the moment, it’s looking like they are going to get closer.

If they do reach the postseason, to play in the Wild Card, they would I assume be a dangerous threat. The Royals are a team that have fought off adversity in the past, they’re coming off a win in the World Series, and they will be a hot team at the right time. I wouldn’t want to be the team that draws them in that game.

The Royals have gone 19-6 since August 8th. After winning nine straight games between August 14th to the 23rd, the thought of the Royals making a big comeback started to become a realistic scenario. The Tigers have generally been playing good baseball, and the Houston Astros have just taken a couple off the Indians, so it’s going to take another team collapsing for them to pull it off.

I could see Detroit fading away, as they can be one of the hottest and coldest team in baseball. If they play like they did last night, the Tigers aren’t going to go anywhere. Pitching was strong, but it was a series of awful at-bats after another. Nothing bad you can say about Matt Boyd in that one. The offense on the other hand looked like they were trying to get the game over as quickly as possible. The Royals will be looking for another win tonight, against a team they have to beat up on to reach the postseason.

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins

Danny Duffy (11-2, 3.13 ERA) vs Kyle Gibson (5-9, 5.31 ERA)

Danny Duffy will take the mound for the Royals, as he looks to shake off a couple of poor starts. Duffy was rolling right along, before the Red Sox and Tigers happened. The Red Sox got to him for 7 runs in 5 innings, and then the Tigers got to him for 4 runs. Duffy went three straight games, allowing only 1 run per game, prior to that. Despite the dismal starts for Duffy, he still holds an impressive 3.13 ERA and 11-2 record. The only real blemishes on his resume have been the last two starts. He does sport a 2.84 ERA pitching on the road.

Kyle Gibson has been getting nailed to the wall himself, posting an ERA of 7.88 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his last three starts. If Duffy feels bad about the way things went against the Tigers and Red Sox, he can look at Gibson to feel better about himself. In four out of his last five starts, Gibson has allowed 4 or more runs. In four out of his last seven, he’s surrendered 5 or more runs. Duffy has been strong against the Twins in ten starts, with a 2.23 ERA. I am confident in Duffy finding his mojo here. Conversely, Gibson being bad has pretty well been the status quo in 2016. I personally see the Royals as -160 favorites in this game, but odds makers think they’re -135 to -140 favorites. I like Kansas City to take another one at the expense of the Twins tonight, which would make for their seventh win in a row over them.


Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.