San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers – MLB April 22

10:10 p.m. ET – Padres at Dodgers (-185 ML) O/U: 7.5

The 10-10 Padres travel to Chavez Ravine to take on the 14-4 Dodgers in a four-game set starting Thursday night that will run through the weekend. San Diego was swept at home this week by the Brewers, getting outscored 13-3 over the course of  the three-game series. Meanwhile, Los Angeles split two games in Seattle after winning the finale 1-0 behind a brillant starting performance from left-hander Julio Urias.

These two teams played a three-game series last weekend in which the Dodgers won the first two games before the Padres won the series finale.

About the Padres

San Diego Padres LogoSan Diego has not gotten off to the hot start it was hoping for to challenge the Dodgers and potentially win its first National League West crown since 2006. The Padres are struggling at the plate, scoring only 3.6 runs per game to rank 26th in Major League Baseball. Star shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. was looking for a big season after that massive signing.

Fernando signed a massive 14-year, $340 million contract, but was placed on the 10-Day Injured List with a shoulder injury last week after starting the season batting .154 with only two home runs and three RBI. One of the few bright spots for Padres has been veteran first baseman Eric Hosmer, who is hitting .311 with three home runs and 14 RBI.

The pitching staff has been fantastic for San Diego, allowing only 3.4 runs per game so far this season, the fourth-fewest in all of baseball. The pitching staff is keeping the Padres afloat, but eventually this lineup they paid so much money for to upgrade in the offseason is going to need to produce.

About the Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers LogoThe defending World Series champion Dodgers are just as scary this year as they were last year, if not more. The addition of NL CY Young winner Trevor Bauer this offseason put an already strong starting rotation over the top. Los Angeles has played flawless baseball to start the season, ranking fourth in runs scored per game and first in runs allowed per game.

The lineup offers no easy outs for opposing pitching staffs, but it has not been Mookie Betts or Cody Bellinger that has destroyed the baseball the most this year. It has been Justin Turner. The Dodger third baseman is batting .381 with five home runs and 16 RBI to lead the team in all three categories in the early going.

Los Angeles is only going to get stronger as the season moves on, with Bellinger expected to be removed from the 10-Day Injured list by the end of the month.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
San Diego Padres +1½ (-135) +155 O 7½ (-115)
Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ (+115) -185 U 7½ (-105)

The Pitching Matchup

Left-hander Ryan Weathers is making his second career major league start on Thursday night for San Diego. The 21-year-old Weathers made his first big league start last Friday against these same Dodgers when he allowed one hit and no runs over 3.2 innings of work. Prior to that start he had made three appearances out of the bullpen, which gives him a 0.93 ERA over 9.2 innings pitched this season.

Los Angeles is turning to right-hander Walker Buehler, who is off to a great start this season. In three starts, Buehler has a 2.00 ERA over 18 innings pitched and a 1-0 record. Buehler was a popular pick to win the 2021 National League CY Young this preseason and he looks to be one of the early frontrunners this April.

What’s the Bet?
The value in this game lies within the Over/Under total. Weathers may be only 21 years old, but the Padres No. 5 overall prospect and seventh overall pick in the 2018 MLB draft has more than enough talent to hold his own against this Los Angeles lineup.

Weathers also has one successful start against the Dodgers already this season so his confidence entering this one should be high. On the flip side, Walker Buehler is one of the best pitchers in Major League Baseball right now and San Diego just cannot hit the baseball. Buehler should carve through this Padres lineup and keep them off the board.

Both these teams boast solid enough bullpens that this game should easily go under the total of 7.5 runs.

The Bet
Under 7.5 Runs

*Odds courtesy of MyBookie

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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.

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