San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick – MLB April 27, 2021

The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks will square off for the front half of a two-game series at Chase Field in the desert on Tuesday evening. The Diamondbacks closed out their series against the Atlanta Braves in impressive fashion on Sunday. They swept a doubleheader with a 5-0 and 7-0 win. Zac Gallen went the distance across 7 innings with just 1 hit and no earned run allowed. If you are wondering, no, a pitcher will not be rewarded with a no-hitter in a 7-inning game. Madison Bumgarner one upped Gallen in the next game, as Bumgarner didn’t give up a hit in a 7-0 victory in the evening matchup.

The two wins take the Diamondbacks to 11-11 on the season. Despite the impressive Sunday for the Diamondbacks, they are going into Tuesday with a mediocre mark of 11-11 and don’t stand a chance in the ultra competitive NL West. Tough break playing in the same division as the Padres, Dodgers, and the Giants have looked better than expected. It’s going to be tough to threaten the top of the division in the NL West. I suppose a wildcard berth is possible, but we should likely expect to see the Diamondbacks going up and down. Having said that, improvement is likely to be made throughout the season.

The Diamondbacks are a young team with their eyes set on the future. As the young talent develops, the Diamondbacks are going to show glimpses into next year and beyond. It’s not enough to compete for a divisional title, but they should be in a good spot in two or three years from now. Even better if Bumgarner can regain his form of yesteryear when he was with the Giants. He’s lost velocity, but if Bumgarner can tweak a few things, he can still be a major contributor. After a very nice Sunday, the Diamondbacks welcome a dangerous Padres team to Chase Field.

San Diego is fresh off a thrilling 8-7 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday Night Baseball. They were winners in three of four games at Dodger Stadium. The Padres are heating up as Fernando Tatis Jr. heats up. I said it when the Padres were in a bit of a slump to open the season. Tatis Jr. wasn’t seeing the ball well and the Padres were struggling. As soon as Tatis Jr. gets his bat working, the Padres were going to start flying. They head into Arizona with a record of 13-11 for a 2.5-game deficit on the Giants and Dodgers. Head below for our free Padres vs. Diamondbacks pick on April 27, 2021.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Odds:


  • Padres -1.5 (+102)
  • Diamondbacks +1.5 (-122)

  • Padres -148
  • Diamondbacks +137

  • Over 9 (-115)
  • Under 9 (-105)


Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction:

The Padres will send out Chris Paddack to the bump on Tuesday night at Chase Field. His first two seasons in the majors were both good and bad. After a rookie campaign where we saw Paddock in impressive form, Paddack regressed in the shortened season in 2020. Paddack posted an ERA of 3.33 and 0.98 WHIP through 26 games as a rookie two years ago.

He fell off to a 4.73 ERA and 1.22 WHIP last season. There were several good players last season that didn’t perform. Could it have just been Paddack having a season where he wasn’t that focused during a weird year? Paddack hasn’t been particularly special thus far in 2021, so the jury is still out on him. Paddack goes into Arizona with an ERA of 5.50 and 1.44 WHIP through 18 innings.

Paddack has been decent enough besides his last outing against the Brewers last week. He was tagged for 6 hits and 5 earned runs in 5 innings of play. Through the first three starts of the season, Paddack hadn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in a performance. He’s given up 2, 3, 1, and 5 earned runs this season. This could be a big confidence starter for Paddack against the Diamondbacks.

He has been strong against the D-backs in his career. In 66 at-bats, Arizona is hitting just .125 with a .205 OBP against Paddack. Stephen Vogt is the only player on the Diamondbacks roster to take Paddack deep. That bodes well for a bounce-back performance for Paddack on Tuesday. Merrill Kelly of the D-backs will counter against Paddack. Kelly has been significantly out of form going into tonight.

Kelly has posted an ERA of 7.71 and 1.57 WHIP through four starts and 21 innings on the hill. The Dodgers looked good against Kelly on April 2. They got to Kelly for 5 hits and 3 earned runs through 4 innings of work. The Padres have handled Kelly well overall in his career. They have recorded 5 home runs and 17 RBI in 90 at-bats against him. I will put my support behind the Padres staying hot in the desert on Tuesday night.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.