San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick – MLB August 14, 2020

    Dinelson Lamet (2-0, 1.61 ERA) vs. Merrill Kelly (2-1, 2.29 ERA)

The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks will get a three-game series underway in the desert on Friday night at Chase Field. The Padres want to quickly put the last two days in the past. After winning the first two games in impressive fashion over the Dodgers, the Padres fell asleep in the third and fourth game. The Dodgers won 6-0 and then 11-2 last night in a couple of discouraging performances. They opened the series up nicely with a 2-1 and 6-2 win. The next two games were completely different, though.

The Padres had a terrific chance to at a minimum win three of four games against the Dodgers. That would have been a major early season accomplishment. However, like we’ve seen countless times before, just when we think the Padres are turning a big corner, they do something like that and regress. The Padres head into Friday with a record of 11-9. The verdict is still out on the Padres, but we do know that there is a lot of young talent to like on this team.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is a tremendous player who is one of the finest young hitters in the major leagues. The 21-year-old has been showing signs of improvement after an impressive rookie campaign. From what I’ve watched so far with Tatis Jr., there is definitely MVP potential there. And when the Padres start winning some more games, Tatis Jr. will get more attention for his effort. He certainly deserves it now. He received just one preseason NL MVP vote, so that might have been a mistake by several voters to not include him. Mookie Betts’ three home runs last night surely gives him a bigger lead over Tatis Jr. and the rest, though.

The Padres are hoping that the combo of Manny Machado and Tatis Jr. is enough to put them over the top and get them into the postseason. A flamethrower like Dinelson Lamet helps the Padres’ cause, though. Lamet has quite the arm on him and it appears he’s reaching the peak of his career in 2020. Next season will be important as well for Lamet. He is scheduled to get the starting nod, while the Diamondbacks counter with their best pitcher this season, Merrill Kelly. Head below for our free San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks pick for August 14, 2020.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Padres -1.5 (+122)
  • Diamondbacks +1.5 (-142)
Moneyline:

  • Padres (-125)
  • Diamondbacks (+115)
Total Points:

  • Over 9 (-105)
  • Under 9 (-115)

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San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction:

Dinelson Lamet knows how to bring the heat. He can regulaury touch 95 mph on the radar gun with command. Most of the issues he’s had in his first two seasons in the major leagues has been his control. He posted an ERA of 4.57 and 4.07 in 2017 and 2019.

If Lamet could have had better command of his pitches, then those numbers would have been much better. Lamet has been relatively unhittable in 2020, as he owns an impressive WHIP of 0.85. Hitters that he’s faced have connected for a .154 batting average. Lamet heads into Friday with a nice ERA of 1.61 through four games and 22.1 innings.

Lamet has squared off against the Diamondbacks twice and the Dodgers, and Giants. The only game he gave up more than a run in was against the Dodgers, and his effort versus LA might have been the most impressive. Lamet conceded 2 earned runs and 2 hits through 5.2 innings for a nice outing.

He didn’t have a letdown spot against the D-backs in his next start. Lamet held the D-backs to a hit and run in 6.2 innings of work. No letdown spot whatsoever for Lamet in that performance. In 67 at-bats, the Diamondbacks are hitting just .167 against Lamet. They’ve scored 2 runs on him in 11.2 innings this season. Overall in 2020, the Arizona offense has been

The Padres’ batters have been able to frustrate Merrill Kelly a bit more. They’re hitting .250 with 4 home runs, and most importantly, the Padres’ most important batters have had success against Kelly. Tatis Jr. is hitting .500 with 3 home runs in 8 at-bats, Tommy Pham is hitting .500 with a home run in 6 at-bats, and even Greg Garcia has done well with a .455 batting average in 11 at-bats. Lamet and the Padres are a solid option in the desert at this price, as they attempt to bounce back following a couple of sloppy days at Dodger Stadium.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.