San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Pick – MLB May 13, 2022

For three days, the San Diego Padres are out east in Atlanta at Truist Park. This is the opening of a lengthy road trip for the Padres. They have a nine-game road trip across three series.

The Padres stay on the east coast following this weekend series in Atlanta. They’ll fly to Philadelphia for a three-game series against the Phillies.

San Diego is coming off a 7-5 loss to the Cubs on Wednesday. They dropped two of three games at home against the Cubs, as the Padres regressed to a record of 20-12.

Despite the two losses against the Cubs, the Padres are happy where they are right now. They’re a game behind the LA Dodgers in the NL West and will remain a threat for the rest of the season.

Last season it was a duel between the Giants and Dodgers. This season it could be the Padres, who were expected to be much more competitive last year. Getting a healthy and productive Fernando Tatis Jr. back in the lineup is key.

Tatis Jr. is not yet taking swings, but heading in that direction. The offense would appreciate his arrival because the Padres are not operating at their full potential at the moment.

The Braves have a win in three of their last four games and a split in a two-game interleague series against the Boston Red Sox. They are on the heels of a 5-3 win over the Red Sox two days back.

This should be a good pitching matchup with Yu Darvish and Max Fried on the bump at Truist Park. Head below for our free Padres vs. Braves prediction on May 13, 2022.

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
San Diego Padres +1.5 (-160) +134 Over 7 (-115)
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+135) -160 Under 7 (-105)
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Team Data San Diego Padres Atlanta Braves
Overall Record 20-12 15-17
Away/Home Record 10-5 9-9
Batting Average .227 .225
Batting Average Away/Home .233 .228
Runs Per 9 4.37 4.21
Team ERA 3.68 4.10
Team ERA Away/Home 3.95 4.25

Padres vs. Braves Prediction:

Yu Darvish goes into Atlanta with some confidence after bouncing back well after allowing 8 hits and 9 earned runs to the San Francisco Giants on April 12. He has been sharp in four games since then.

That start for Darvish against the Giants was an outlier for him. He’s conceded 2 or fewer runs in four of six games and 3 or fewer in five of six attempts. The bad start against the Giants was his only troublespot.

Darvish is going into Truist Park with an ERA of 4.05 and a 1.08 WHIP. Remove the outlier, and Darvish would have much better numbers.

The Braves haven’t had success against Darvish in his career. They are hitting just .156 with 1 home run in 88 at-bats.

Since allowing 9 earned runs in 1.2 innings to the Giants, Darvish conceded 4 earned runs in 18.2 innings of work. That’s how you bounce back after a sloppy performance.

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Trends:

Padres

  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 7-0 overall in their previous seven games after a loss
  • 6-2 overall in their previous eight games on the road
  • UNDER is 6-1 in their previous seven games versus the NL East
  • UNDER is 11-3 in their previous 14 games after a loss
  • UNDER is 6-1 in their previous seven games on a Friday

Braves

  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 2-8 overall in their previous ten games after a win
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight gmaes as a betting favorite
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games versus the NL West
  • UNDER is 10-4 in their previous 14 games after a one-day break
  • UNDER is 15-7-3 in their previous 25 games versus a right-handed starter

  • Max Fried counters for the Braves and provides a good lift on the mound. Fried has been in good form with an ERA of 2.68 and a 0.84 WHIP.

    The lefty has allowed 2 or fewer runs in five straight starts after giving up 8 hits, and 5 earned runs in his 2022 debut. Fried has a 2.08 ERA and 0.69 WHIP in two starts this month.

    The Padres haven’t been hitting as well as they hoped at this point in the season. They’re hitting .227 for 21st in the major leagues. More than 0.88 home runs per game was expected.

    The Padres have done little against Fried in his career. There is only one batter in the Padres lineup hitting .300 versus Fried.

    Fried has held the Padres to a .071 with 1 home run and 2 RBIs across 38 at-bats in his career.

    This should be a matchup decided by Darvish and Fried. Both bullpens have been in decent form with a 4.10 ERA and 3.29 ERA as well. I’d look at the UNDER at a value price in Atlanta.

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    Padres vs. Braves Pick
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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