San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers Pick – MLB August 12, 2020

    Zach Davies (2-1, 2.87 ERA) vs. Tony Gonsolin (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

The San Diego Padres are looking for an unlikely three straight wins at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday. With wins of 2-1 and 6-2 over the Dodgers the last two days, the Padres need just one one more for three in a row over a World Series favorite. It isn’t like the Padres are a bad team or anything, so it wouldn’t be as bad of an upset as people think, but the Dodgers have too much talent to go around getting swept by San Diego.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is a name that you are going to be hearing about for a long time. The Padres have been trying to develop a deadly hitter like Tatis Jr. for what feels like years now. They acquired Manny Machado, but Tatis Jr. has been a Padre since he was 17. The Chicago White Sox stupidly enough traded him to San Diego after drafting him.

The White Sox are putting together a solid team right now and throwing Tatis. Jr into the mix would have done wonders for their lineup. Machado and Tatis Jr. on the same team provides the Padres with an impressive duo for the foreseeable future. The Padres head into Wednesday with a record of 11-7 for a tie with the Dodgers in the NL West. Meanwhile, the Colorado Rockies are currently enjoying their time at the top at 12-5.

The NL West will likely have a more competitive finish to the season than I think many came to expect. The Rockies and Padres are a bit more talented than they were getting credit for, and I believe that added to their motivation going into 2020. If Kyle Freeland and Antonio Senzatela continue their hot pace in the rotation, then they are going to be in a terrific position to steal the NL West.

I still believe the Dodgers are the team to beat, but they might have to work for it. Nothing is going to be easy, especially in a shortened season where cold droughts have to be avoided. The Dodgers are expected to give a spot start to reliever Tony Gonsolin on Wednesday. This is a big spot for Gonsolin to impress. Zach Davies, who has been a nice acquisition for the Padres so far, is scheduled to counter for San Diego. Head below for our free San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers pick for August 12, 2020.

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Padres +1.5 (-135)
  • Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
Moneyline:

  • Padres (+153)
  • Dodgers (-166)
Total Points:

  • Over 8.5 (-125)
  • Under 8.5 (+105)

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San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers Prediction:

The Zach Davies acquisition has been paying off for the San Diego Padres, at least so far. A lifetime Milwaukee Brewer, Davies spent six years in Milwaukee before joining the Padres. In five of his six years with the Brewers, Davies recorded an ERA below the 4.00 mark. He posted an ERA of 4.77 in 2018, but was able to bounce back for a 3.55 ERA last season. Davies has been able to build on that in 2020.

He heads into Dodger Stadium on Wednesday with an ERA of 2.87 and 0.83 WHIP. Davies has held up well against the Dodgers. They’re hitting .268 with a .306 OBP in 80 at-bats. He catches the Dodgers with cold bats after scoring just 3 runs the last two days. However, can the Padres do it for three straight days? It’s certainly possible, but I don’t think it is going to be easy. It might just take one bad inning by Davies for the floodgates to open for the Dodgers.

Tony Gonsolin is not a full time member of the rotation, but he will get the call to make a spot start. That said, Gonsolin made six starts as a rookie last season. In total, Gonsolin appeared in 11 games. He was sharp with an ERA of 2.93 and 1.03 WHIP. Batters connected for a measly .178 batting average against Gonsolin.

It’s a luxury to have Gonsolin on the roster. There are a lot of teams out there who would have him an every week starter in their rotation. The rotation for the Dodgers is so strong that they don’t need him there at the moment. That may change if somebody is struggling, though. Gonsolin made his debut out of the bullpen in 2020 against the Arizona Diamondbacks on the road.

He was in excellent form, as Gonsolin yielded just 1 hit and no runs. The D-backs hit 0.83 against Gonsolin in that meeting. Gonsolin concluded the contest with an ERA of 0.00 and 0.50 WHIP. Only two runners were able to reach base on Gonsolin. I think there is some value to be had on the Dodgers to win by 2 or more runs, as they salvage at least a win out of this series against the Padres.

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The Bet
LA DODGERS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.