San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Pick – MLB June 30, 2022

The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers headline the late card on the Major League Baseball schedule Thursday. The Dodgers are coming off a road trip to Cincinnati, Atlanta, and Colorado. They haven’t played at home since a 5-3 loss to the Cleveland Guardians on June 19.

It was a sweep for the Dodgers at Cincinnati, and a solid series with two of three wins at Truist Park. However, the Dodgers ran out of steam at Coors Field in the first two meetings of the series. They dropped a 4-0 and 7-4 final, but responded nicely in the series finale.

The Dodgers struck early, as they took a 5-0 lead into the bottom of the 4th frame. Julio Urias had a nice outing from what you can expect from a starter at Coors Field, with 6 hits and 3 earned runs through 5.1 innings.

This is a big series against their biggest foe in the NL West. The Dodgers have a 1.5-game lead on the Padres going into a four-game series. They are fortunate that the Padres are banged up at the moment.

The Padres are without the services of Manny Machado and have been absent of Fernando Tatis Jr. for much longer. It would help to have at least one of them recently, as the Padres have been spotty with two wins in six games.

San Diego is only 1.5 games behind despite dealing with injuries to their biggest stars.

It’s not a guarantee, but with a healthy Tatis Jr. and Machado, I have the Padres ahead of the Dodgers by two or three games going into tonight. The problem for the Padres is that the Dodgers will likely get red-hot at some point this summer.

The Dodgers have been good at 46-28, but it almost feels like they aren’t putting out their full effort. They almost look bored, even though being bored is still good enough over most teams in the majors because of their talent.

The Padres will send their ace to the mound to open this series at Dodger Stadium. Joe Musgrove is expected to have the starting call, while Mitch White is scheduled for the Dodgers.

Head below for our free Padres vs. Dodgers prediction on June 30, 2022.

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
San Diego Padres +1.5 (-180) +113 Over 8 (+105)
LA Dodgers -1.5 (+155) -135 Under 8 (-125)
Team Data San Diego Padres LA Dodgers
Overall Record 46-31 46-28
Away/Home Record 25-15 20-12
Batting Average .239 .250
Batting Average Away/Home .253 .244
Runs Per 9 4.67 5.18
Team ERA 3.48 3.01
Team ERA Away/Home 3.74 3.22

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction:

The Padres were on a three-game skid before getting on track in their most recent outing with a 4-0 win over the Diamondbacks. They took a split versus the Diamondbacks and lost three of four versus the Phillies.

Joe Musgrove will look to keep the Padres on the winning path. Musgrove is going into Thursday night with an ERA of 2.12 and a 0.95 WHIP. He’s lost just one start, with a record of 8-1.

In his latest performance, he was rocked in a rare troublespot.

Musgrove was KO’d for 7 hits and 6 earned runs to the Phillies in a 6-2 loss. He owns an ERA of 3.79 and a 1.05 WHIP in his last three outings.

The Dodgers have notched 9 RBIs and 3 home runs versus Musgrove in 99 at-bats. After waking up last night at Coors Field, I suspect that the Dodgers should have their bats working in their return home.

San Diego loses a lot of potential at the plate in the absence of Machado and Tatis Jr. Machado was playing terrific baseball, with a batting average of .328, 12 home runs, and 46 RBIs.

Machado is missed deeply in the Padres’ lineup.

The Padres are hitting .213 with 3.68 runs per 9 innings in their last five outings. They’ve scored 4.08 runs per 9 innings in their previous ten, while the Dodgers notched 5.18 runs per 9.

San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers Betting Trends:

Padres

  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games on the road
  • 14-37 overall in their previous 51 games at Dodger Stadium
  • 5-2 overall in their previous seven games on a Thursday
  • UNDER is 5-2 in their previous seven games versus the NL West

Dodgers

  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus a team with a winning percentage better than 60%
  • 6-0 overall in their previous six games versus the Padres at home
  • 48-17 overall in their previous 65 games at home
  • 46-21 overall in their previous 67 first game of a series
  • UNDER is 6-1-2 in their previous nine games versus the NL West

  • Mitch White appeared in 21 games, four as a reliever, as a rookie last year. He finished with an ERA of 3.66 and a 1.18 WHIP across 48.1 innings.

    White has a foundation to build on, and he’s been pretty reliable this season.

    He is going into this one with an ERA of 4.25 and a 1.15 WHIP through five starts and five appearances as a reliever. It’s important to note that White hasn’t gotten hammered this season.

    White has allowed 3 or fewer runs in all of his performances. In six of his ten attempts, he’s yielded 2 or fewer earned runs.

    The San Diego lineup isn’t as dangerous as it would be if they were healthy. White doesn’t have to deal with Machado and Tatis Jr., which helps plenty.

    I’m backing the Dodgers to open this important series with a win on their return home tonight. After a tough couple of days at Coors Field, they came back strong last night, and should ride that energy in this one.

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    Padres vs. Dodgers Pick
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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