Several teams are getting much deserved days off today, as only twenty teams will be in action on a slow Monday. But even with the days off, we still have ten games on the slate, and that will be the case the rest of the season, as this schedule is jam-packed with teams playing nearly every day, as well as a bunch of double-headers on the horizon.
The action is fast and furious for Major League Baseball, and we here at The Sports Geek are going to be right here to take advantage of it, and bring you all of the sharp betting advice you need to make money betting baseball in 2020! For today’s daily betting pick, we will head to Denver, Colorado, where the Rockies host the San Francisco Giants in a National League West showdown.
San Francisco Giants (5-5) at Colorado Rockies (6-2)
The Colorado Rockies are the most surprising team in the National League this year, as they were expected to finish near the bottom of the National League West standings, and instead, enter play today, in first place. The Rockies have won each of their three series thus far this season, including taking two out of three games from the San Diego Padres in their last series.
For the Giants, they too were expected to struggle in 2020, as many of their best players from last year are no longer with the team, but the Giants are overachieving as well, as, at 5-5, they are right in the mix for the playoffs in the NL. San Francisco is coming off of their first series win of the year in their last series, as they won two out of three games against the Texas Rangers.
Starting tonight for the Giants is Johnny Cueto (0-0 5.87 ERA), and for the Rockies, it is Chi Chi Gonzalez (0-0 0.00 ERA). The Rockies are -146 home field favorites. The game total over/under is set at 13.5 runs. First pitch is scheduled for 5:40 PM PST from Coors Field in Denver.
San Francisco Giants
2020 was supposed to be the year that the San Francisco Giants bottomed out and started over. After a decade of excellence that saw SF win three World Series titles, they lost the last remaining remnants of those teams this year, when Madison Bumgarner went to the Arizona Diamondbacks, and Buster Posey decided to opt-out of play this season. But despite a completely retooled roster, the Giants are doing a great job of staying in contention.
Young guys like Mike Yastremski, who is hitting .343, with a borderline absurd .500 on-base percentage, and Tyler Heineman, who is trying to fill the impossible to fill shoes of Buster Posey behind the plate, are playing well, and the Giants are finding ways to win games. The bats are starting to heat up as the Giants have scored 35 runs in their last five games, a sizzling 7 runs a game average.
Johnny Cueto (0-0 5.87 ERA)
It has been seemingly forever since Johnny Cueto was actually healthy. The last time that Cueto pitched a full season was 2016, when he was an All-Star and nearly won the National League Cy Young Award, when he won 18 games. Injuries have sidelined what could have potentially been a Hall of Fame level career for Cueto. All told, Cueto has had six seasons cut significantly short by injuries, and had he been able to stay on the field, would likely be closing in on 200 career wins.
Cueto is finally healthy now, but he hasn’t been all that effective, as he has gotten roughed up in two starts this season. While he lasted just four innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, he was serviceable while he was in the game, as he gave up just one run against the best lineup in the National League. He didn’t fare nearly as well in his second outing, as the San Diego Padres smashed him for four runs in just 3.2 innings worked.
Who saw this hot start coming from the Colorado Rockies? I’m not going to lie, I certainly didn’t. And when I look at this roster that just doesn’t have anywhere near the talent as say the Dodgers and the Padres, in the NL West, it makes me think that they are going to slow down at some point.
Colorado had one of the worst pitching staffs in all of baseball in 2019, and they have taken that exact same group of guys and have turned them into one of the best groups in the NL right now. I am not sure that is ever going to be sustainable and at some point, this team is going to give up some runs.
The Rockies have held opposing teams to two runs or fewer in five of their eight games this season. They have some serious issues at closer as Wade Davis has been dreadful and has already been shut down, and Scott Oberg doesn’t look like he is going to see the field in 2020. But so far, the weak backend hasn’t hurt the strong front side of this staff, and the Rockies are riding it to a lot of wins.
Chi Chi Gonzalez (0-0 0.00 ERA)
How can you not love a guy named Chi Chi? Chi Chi Gonzalez was once a former first-round draft pick that, between injuries and ineffectiveness, has never really been able to do much on the Major League level. Gonzalez missed all of 2017-2018, as he recovered from Tommy John surgery, and last year, was underwhelming in 14 appearances for Colorado.
Last year, Gonzalez mostly started for the Rockies and posted a 5.29 ERA. And while that is certainly not great, I guess it is better than the 8.71 ERA he posted in 2016, which was the last time he pitched in the big leagues before last year. Gonzalez is a soft tosser that rarely strikes anyone out, and has had significant issues with his control, as he walks a lot of guys. His career WHIP of 1.50 leaves a lot to be desired, to say the least.
Who Do I Like?
How is Chi Chi Gonzalez, a favorite in this game? It makes absolutely no sense. Yeah, the Rockies have had a strong two weeks to start the season, but this isn’t a team that is going to make the playoffs. I guess anything could happen in a short season with expanded playoffs, but this Colorado team does not have a playoff-caliber roster.
The Giants aren’t much better, as they too will likely be on the outside looking in for the postseason, but if you are telling me that I get to bet against Chi Chi Gonzalez, a guy that gave up 11 homers in 12 starts last year, and that I get to pick up significant dog money along the way, I am going to take it every time.
Give me the Giants. This is one of those betting spots where you just can’t pass up on the underdog. Both of these teams have overachieved, and I see both teams regressing once the schedules get tougher. But I just can’t pass up getting to fade Chi Chi Gonzalez as a favorite. He walks way too many guys and gives up way too much hard contact, to want to back him at Coors Field.
The game total of 13.5 runs tells us that the books expect fireworks, and so do I. I can’t take the over, as that number is far too inflated, but in a game where runs are going to be fairly easy to get, no team can ever be too big of a favorite. So, I will take the underdog and hope the variance breaks my way tonight. Give me the San Francisco Giants as road underdogs tonight in game one from Coors Field!