San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Pick – September 8th

As the NFL kicks off its first full slate of games today, football will snatch away a lot of the public’s attention. But you don’t want to let baseball take too far of a backseat though, as September baseball can be very profitable for sharp bettors. That was illustrated last night as we picked up another winner, this time on the under nine and a half runs in the Cleveland Indiana and Minnesota Twins game. My prediction yesterday was a 4-3 Twins victory, and the final score? 5-3 Twins. Not bad if you ask me!

Both starters were solid as expected, with Aaron Civale continuing his hot start to his major league career for the Indians. Civale pitched five innings, allowing just one run on only three hits. Twins starter Jake Odorizzi was nearly as good as he threw five a third innings, allowing two runs and striking out ten. The bullpens were a pitch shaky, and that gave us a little bit of sweat, but in the end, the game came in well under, and we cashed our ticket.

The win was a huge one for the Twins as they are days away from clinching the American League Central Division title. Minnesota now owns a six and a half-game lead over the Indians for first place with just a handful of games left on the schedule. The two team’s matchup again tonight in Minnesota, and if the Twins take that game, the division race is all but over. For today’s pick. We will head to Los Angeles, where the Dodgers host the Giants.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are hoping to break out of their funk tonight at home, against the Giants. The Dodgers are hoping to stave off the sweep, as they have lost the first two games of this series and have really struggled at the plate. The Dodgers have been the best hitting team in the National League all season long, but in this series that bats have gone cold with the exception of AJ Pollock who has three home runs and three of the four Dodgers RBI in this series.

For the Giants, they are trying to play spoiler, and with a win, could lock up a season-long series tie with the Dodgers. While not technically out of the playoff race in the NL, the Giants would need a miracle to get back into the playoff conversation as they are seven and a half games back of the second wild card in the NL.

Starting today for the Dodgers is Julio Urias (4-3 2.55 ERA), and for the Giants it is Dereck Rodriguez (5-8 5.15 ERA). The game total over-under is set at nine runs. The Dodgers are -240 home favorites. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 PM PST from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles.

Julio Urias is hoping to pitch himself into the Dodgers postseason rotation here in September. Urias has been used mostly out of the bullpen this season and has a shot to be added as the Dodgers fourth starter for the playoffs. His results pitching out of the pen this year have been elite as his ERA is just 2.55.

The flame thrower is only expected to pitch three or four innings today, but if his numbers against the Giants this year are any indication as to how well he will pitch today, you can expect big things out of the twenty-three-year-old. Urias has made five appearances against the Giants this season, including two starts and has been untouchable. His ERA is 0.77 in eleven and two-thirds of an inning pitched. He has fifteen punchouts in that span, and the Giants are hitting just .167 against him.

Dereck Rodriguez is trying to find that spark that made him one of the best rookie pitchers in the league last season. He has struggled to stay consistent this year but seems to be finding himself somewhat here late in the season. When you look at his last four starts, two have been amazing, two have been terrible.

In his last outing, he pitched seven strong innings of one-run ball against the hot-hitting St. Louis Cardinals. Four starts ago, he threw seven shutout innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.  This kid has shut you down level stuff when he is on his game. But when you look at the two starts sandwiched between those stellar outings; you get to see the inconsistency of Rodriguez. In those two games, he gave up eleven runs in just nine innings.

The Dodgers bats have gone completely cold in this series. They could only muster four hits last night, and the night before, if you take out what AJ Pollock was able to do, the rest of the team combined for just three hits and one RBI. And that has been the case most of the season against the Giants as San Francisco has played them very tough all year long.

Giants manager Bruce Bochy will be managing his final game at Dodger Stadium tonight and would love to add to his already major league record of 107 wins in LA. That makes this the Giants World Series. We have seen that the entire series so far, this game matters to San Francisco, and I think they find a way to keep it lower scoring and competitive.

You hate to bet the under when you have a team with a lineup as strong as the Dodgers, but that doesn’t mean it isn’t the right play. It took a lot of courage to take the under in the Twins game last night, as the Twins have been the best hitting team in the game and hold the all-time single-season home run record for a team. That one came in, and we will follow that same strategy tonight, and jump on the under. Give me the under nine runs today in the series finale from Los Angeles!

The Bet: Under 9 runs at -110

My Pick
UNDER 9
Jason Gray / Author

Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL