San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Pick – MLB April 30, 2021

The San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres are scheduled to meet this weekend for a three-game series at Petco Park. It’s been a mediocre start for the Padres this season. They’re all-in this season and looking to go to the World Series. They’ve loaded up offensively and in their pitching staff.

However, games and championships are not won on paper. With the talent on their roster, a 14-12 start can be characterized as mediocre. It’s important to keep in mind that the first month of the season shouldn’t be taken as gospel, though. The Padres have the talent to easily catch fire and go on a ten-game winning streak.

San Diego is coming off an impressive performance with a 12-3 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 28. Manny Machado had a big performance with 3 RBI on 2-for-5 hitting from the dish. Fernando Tatis Jr. stayed hot with 2 RBI on 2-for-4 hitting. When the Padres are locked in, they can be a very tough team to beat. The Padres are versatile in the sense that they can win with their pitching or offense.

Whether it’s a high-scoring or low-scoring duel, the Padres are capable of winning ball games. Prior to their two-game series against the Diamondbacks, which they split with a 5-1 loss and 12-3 win, the Padres impressively beat the Dodgers in three of four games over the weekend. They beat the Dodgers in a highly-entertaining contest by a score of 8-7 on Sunday Night Baseball.

San Diego faces a decent challenger in the Giants this weekend at Petco. The Giants might be one of the most underrated teams in the majors. They’re used to the underdog role by now, so the Giants aren’t bothered by not getting attention. The Giants are leading the NL West with a record of 16-9 for a half game advantage on the LA Dodgers. I don’t know if that holds by September, but it’s a good start nonetheless.

Logan Webb has made an impact for the Giants thus far this season. The 24-year-old still has a lot of room to grow, though. With Madison Bumgarner playing elsewhere for the first time in his career, there is an opportunity over the next few years for a new ace to develop in San Francisco. Webb is hoping that it could be him. Ace Yu Darvish will counter for the Padres on Friday night. Head below for our free Giants vs. Padres pick on April 30, 2021.

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Odds:


  • Giants +1.5 (-125)
  • Padres -1.5 (+105)

  • Giants +179
  • Padres -195

  • Over 7.5 (-105)
  • Under 7.5 (-115)


Giants vs. Padres Prediction:

The Padres have asked a lot of Yu Darvish and he’s delivered for his new team. The former Cub has been thriving with the Padres in 2021. He’s made five starts and has responded following a shaky debut against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Darvish started out of form with 8 hits and 4 earned runs allowed through 4.2 innings of work. However, he’s been big in his previous four outings. Darvish has allowed no more than 1 earned run in every start. Overall, Darvish holds an ERA of 2.27 and 0.85 WHIP. In his last three tilts, he’s posted an ERA of 1.29 and 0.67 WHIP.

In his most recent outing, Darvish allowed 4 hits and 1 earned run against a dangerous Dodgers’ offense. Note that Darvish has also had success against the Giants in his career. The current roster is hitting .203 versus Darvish in 70 at-bats. He should be able to limit a Giants team scoring an average of 4.18 runs per 9 innings in 2021.

Note that the San Diego pitching staff is third in the majors with 3.51 runs against per 9 innings. They’re holding opponents to a batting average of .206. The only team better in that regard has been the Giants, who are limiting offenses to a .205 average. Webb has been decent through four starts and 22.1 innings. Webb has been great in spots and just okay sometimes. He recorded an ERA of 5.22 and 1.46 WHIP in his first season in the major leagues.

Webb came back with a 5.47 ERA and 1.56 WHIP as a sophomore in his second season. Through 22.1 innings this year, Webb has posted an ERA of 4.03 and 1.57 WHIP. This will be his first start against the Padres this season. He can be decent in this game, but Darvish at plus money on the runline looks like good value. A 5-2 or 5-3 win for the Padres looks plausible in San Diego tonight.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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