San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Pick – MLB July 10, 2022

The San Diego Padres passed up a chance to guarantee a win in this series last night. After a 2-1 and 6-3 win, Carlos Rodon made the Padres look foolish last night. Wilmer Flores connected on a fly ball for 2 runs after Yu Darvish left the game to give the Giants a 3-1 lead.

Darvish pitched a strong, but the run support was limited. The game was over for the Padres after Kim Ha-Seong hit into a double-play in the 2nd inning with 1 out. The Padres tied the game up, but they couldn’t blow the game open.

FRUSTRATING LOSS FOR DARVISH
Darvish did everything he could to beat Rodon and the Giants last night. Manny Machado was a strike-out machine, while they failed to find a clutch hit all night.

The Padres can’t waste pitching performances like that in the NL West. The Dodgers will gladly use the opportunity to pull away if they’re sputtering.

They’re pulling away at the moment, as the Dodgers have quickly built up a seven-game lead.

That’s how fast the Dodgers can make this a non-competitive division. If the Padres don’t watch out, this is going to turn into a double-digit deficit soon.

The absence of Fernando Tatis Jr. hurts offensive production. The lack of a clutch hit I talked about last night might have been there with Tatis Jr. in the lineup.

However, the Padres still have enough talent to be competitive and win games. Not taking advantage of a masterful performance from Davish isn’t acceptable.

The Giants won their second game in ten attempts last night. Despite the 2-run win, that was all Rodon’s doing. The offense had the bases loaded in the top of the 2nd with no outs, and like the Padres, only scored a run.

San Diego will look to get back on track and win three out of four games with rookie MacKenzie Gore on the hill. He’s a promising young starter for the Padres—veteran Alex Wood counters for the Giants at Petco Park.

Head below for our free Giants vs. Padres prediction on July 10, 2022.

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
San Francisco Giants +1.5 (-195) +100 Over 7.5 (-125)
San Diego Padres -1.5 (+165) -120 Under 7.5 (+105)
Team Data San Francisco Giants San Diego Padres
Overall Record 41-41 49-36
Away/Home Record 20-21 23-18
Batting Average .230 .238
Batting Average Away/Home .229 .224
Runs Per 9 4.72 4.47
Team ERA 4.07 3.55
Team ERA Away/Home 4.26 3.28

Giants vs. Padres Prediction:

Alex Wood has been in the major leagues since 2013. The Giants are his fourth different team, spending most of his career and having the most consistent success with the Dodgers. After he struggled mightily in 2019 and 2020, the Giants took a chance on him.

The move was a success last season, as Wood posted an ERA of 3.83 and a 1.18 WHIP.

The 2020 campaign could still be a success for Wood, too, but he’s failing to stay on track consistently. Going into Sunday afternoon, Wood has a 4.83 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.

LACKING CONFIDENCE
Wood is going into Petco Park without the most confidence. He has an ERA of 7.71 and a 1.46 WHIP in his previous three starts.

Wood has allowed 17 hits, 4 walks, and 13 earned runs in those three performances. I want to go back to May 22 in his most recent start versus the Padres.

The Padres throttled Wood for 8 hits and 5 earned runs in 3 innings of work.

They went on for a 10-1 win at Oracle Park in that one. The Padres, without Tatis Jr., are hitting .288 with a .323 OBP versus Wood in 40 at-bats.

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Betting Trends:

Giants

  • Record (Last 10): 2-8
  • 0-5 overall in their previous five games after a win
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games on the road versus a team with a winning record
  • 0-4 overall in their previous four games versus a left-handed starter
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight games on the road
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games versus the Padres

Padres

  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 9-2 overal in their previous 11 fourth game of a series
  • 7-3 overall in their previous ten games on a Sunday
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games versus the Giants
  • 20-9 overall in their previous 29 games versus a left-handed starter
  • OVER is 6-2 in their previous eight games at San Diego

  • MacKenzie Gore has a lot of promise in the San Diego rotation. Besides a couple of bad starts in 12 attempts, Gore has been pitching well in his rookie campaign.

    Gore has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 11 of his 13 attempts.

    After getting battered for 8 earned runs at Coors Field, the toughest place to pitch in the majors, especially for a rookie, Gore responded well on June 24. Gore lasted 5 innings at Philadelphia, with 3 hits and no earned runs.

    Back at home in his latest attempt, Gore had another big performance, with 1 earned run allowed in 5.2 innings last week vs the Dodgers.

    After faltering yesterday evening, expect the Padres to have the advantage. Gore likely delivers a strong outing this afternoon, but the offense has to come through and get a hit with RISP. It’s probable that they’ll find a big hit against Wood.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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