San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Pick – MLB July 9, 2022

The San Francisco Giants will look to stop the bleeding, and the San Diego Padres want to stay hot. San Francisco lost their eighth game in nine attempts at Petco Park last night. After Joe Musgrove pitched a gem in the series opener, Blake Snell was in good form last night.

Musgrove lasted 7 innings with just 1 hit allowed on Thursday night. The Giants scored a run in the top of the 9th against closer Taylor Rogers, but they wouldn’t get any closer in a 2-1 final. Snell followed up with 6 innings of work, allowing 3 hits and 1 earned run.

Machado missed a brief stretch with an ankle injury, and the Padres dearly missed him. They did not look like the same offense without him. As he shakes off the rust, the Padres should start to look much better.

They are coming off back-to-back wins, but the Padres had lost five of six games before Musgrove directed them to a win. If Musgrove isn’t close to perfect in that one, the Padres may lose with just 2 runs on the board.

The offense showed something last night, as Machado was the star with 3 RBIs on a home run.

If Machado gets hot, then everything should begin to fall into place for the Padres again. They were neck and neck with the Dodgers before going into a slump. The Padres are currently 49-36 and six games behind the Dodgers.

San Diego can’t afford to stay complacent in July. If they’re going to trade losses and win, the Dodgers are going to pull away. I’m not a big fan of the Dodgers product this season, but they can still keep a safe distance in the NL West.

This should be a rock-solid pitching matchup tonight. We have Carlos Rodon and Yu Darvish scheduled to open this one on the mound.

Head below for our free Giants vs. Padres prediction on July 9, 2022.

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
San Francisco Giants +1.5 (-240) -112 Over 6.5 (-120)
San Diego Padres -1.5 (+200) -108 Under 6.5 (+100)
Team Data San Francisco Giants San Diego Padres
Overall Record 41-41 49-36
Away/Home Record 20-21 23-18
Batting Average .230 .238
Batting Average Away/Home .229 .224
Runs Per 9 4.72 4.47
Team ERA 4.07 3.55
Team ERA Away/Home 4.26 3.28

Giants vs. Padres Prediction:

Yu Darvish hasn’t been in the best form recently. He hasn’t been himself, with 8 earned runs allowed in his previous two starts across 12 innings. Darvish was running pretty well before getting tagged for 3 runs against the Philadelphia Phillies.

He yielded only 2 earned runs in 15 innings vs the Cubs and D-backs.

Then Darvish had some problems, especially in his latest outing at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers got to Darvish for 8 hits and 5 earned runs in 6 frames. However, he’s going to appreciate going back home to Petco Park.

Darvish has been difficult to hit in San Diego. After a tough trip to Dodger Stadium, expect Darvish to find a rhythm.

He owns an ERA of 3.53 and a 1.01 WHIP this season. On the road, Darvish is shaky with an ERA of 5.25 and a 1.27 WHIP.

However, the veteran has a 1.75 ERA and 0.73 WHIP at Petco Park.

The 3-run bomb from Machado last night could get the San Diego offense going now. They have been stagnant, but a game like that should be good for their confidence.

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 2-8
  • 1-6 overall in their previous six games on the road
  • 1-9 overall in their previous ten games versus a right-handed starter
  • 0-4 overall in their previous four games versus a team with a winning record
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six third game of a series
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games versus the NL West


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 12-4 overall in their previous 16 games after scoring 5 or more runs
  • 20-8 overall in their previous 28 games versus a left-handed starter
  • 21-7 overall in their previous 28 games after their opponents concedes 5 or more runs
  • 5-0 overall in their previous five games versus the Giants
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games on a Saturday

  • The Padres have been more efficient against lefties this season, so a matchup against Carlos Rodon shouldn’t be too scary. They’re hitting .321 against left-handed and .198 versus right-handed pitchers in their previous five outings.

    Rodon is a tough pitcher, but he’s hittable on the road.

    The lefty owns an ERA of 2.08 and a 1.13 WHIP at Oracle Park in the Bay Area. His production on the road hasn’t been as dependable, though, with a 3.46 ERA through 52 innings.

    Rodon is coming off a shaky start at Chase Field against the Diamondbacks, as he allowed 5 hits and 4 earned runs in 5 innings of work.

    The Giants’ bullpen has been lackluster this season. As we saw last night, they can’t be depended on to win games late in contests. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.30 and a 1.36 WHIP. Overall, their pitching staff is 24th in the majors with a .254 batting average against. Conversely, the Padres’ bullpen has a 3.63 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.

    San Diego is a team you have to ride when they’re feeling confident. They can be streaky, which includes being streaky good at times. Expect a much better Darvish at Petco tonight, as the Padres edge the Giants out for a 4-3 or 4-2 win at home.


    Giants vs. PadresPick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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