7:10 p.m. ET – Mariners at Red Sox (-175 ML) O/U: 9.5
The 11-7 Mariners travel to Fenway Park for a four-game series against the 12-7 Red Sox starting Thursday night. The Mariners split a two-game set at home against the defending World Series champion Dodgers where they held their own on Tuesday in the finale but came up short in a 1-0 loss.
About the Mariners
Seattle has surprised a lot of people in the baseball world early on this season with its hot start, losing just one series up to this point. The Mariners are not a statistical powerhouse on paper, but they boast an 11-7 record largely due to their success in close games. Seattle is 7-3 in one-run games.
Which is why despite having a total run differential of -3, they are four games above .500 and only a half game behind the Athletics in the American League West. Outfielder Mitch Haniger has returned to his 2018 All-Star form, batting .315 with four home runs and 14 RBI. Haniger’s success has been much needed with 2020 American League Rookie of the Year Kyle Lewis on the Injured List due to a knee injury suffered during spring training.
With Lewis on the Injured List, veteran third baseman Kyle Seager is going to need to improve on his .224 batting average to go along with just two home runs. Seager has been the most consistent batter for Seattle over the past five years and if they want any chance of turning this rebuild into a competitive team for the long haul in 2021, they need him to heat up at the dish.
About the Red Sox
The Red Sox also have lost only one series this year and it was the first one of the year when they were swept by the Orioles. The offense has been the main reason, as they lead the American League in scoring at 5.4 runs per game. Shortstop Xander Bogarts has come out of the gates on fire, batting .385 with eight RBI.
Left Fielder J.D. Martinez leads Major League Baseball in RBI with 20 in just 19 games. Martinez is also batting .368 with an American League-leading six home runs. The Boston pitching staff has been more than serviceable to start the season with a 3.73 ERA, which ranks 11th in the majors.
Their pitchers have only allowed 11 home runs so far, the second-lowest total in the big leagues, meaning opposing lineups are being forced to earn their runs the hard way.
|Teams||Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|Seattle Mariners||+1½ (-130)||+140||O 9½ (-105)|
|Boston Red Sox||-1½ (+110)||-170||U 9½ (-115)|
The Pitching Matchup
Right-hander Justin Dunn is getting the ball for the visiting Mariners on Thursday night. Dunn is 1-0 this season with a 3.72 ERA in 9.2 innings of work spread across two starts. The 25-year-old Dunn has great stuff, but lacks control and has walked 10 batters already this season.
The Red Sox are turning to right-hander Nick Pivetta for the series opener. Pivetta has been sharp this season with a 3.68 ERA in 14.2 innings pitched over three starts. Pivetta was only able to go 3.2 innings in his last outing after the White Sox were able to get two runs across early.
Seattle had an off day Wednesday while the Red Sox were engaged in a tough divisional matchup, which gives the bullpen rest advantage to the visitors.