Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox – MLB April 22

7:10 p.m. ET – Mariners at Red Sox (-175 ML) O/U: 9.5

The 11-7 Mariners travel to Fenway Park for a four-game series against the 12-7 Red Sox starting Thursday night. The Mariners split a two-game set at home against the defending World Series champion Dodgers where they held their own on Tuesday in the finale but came up short in a 1-0 loss.

Boston picked up the first two games of their three-game set against the Blue Jays, but were unable to complete the sweep on Wednesday, falling just short in a 6-3 loss.

About the Mariners

Seattle Mariners LogoSeattle has surprised a lot of people in the baseball world early on this season with its hot start, losing just one series up to this point. The Mariners are not a statistical powerhouse on paper, but they boast an 11-7 record largely due to their success in close games. Seattle is 7-3 in one-run games.

Which is why despite having a total run differential of -3, they are four games above .500 and only a half game behind the Athletics in the American League West. Outfielder Mitch Haniger has returned to his 2018 All-Star form, batting .315 with four home runs and 14 RBI. Haniger’s success has been much needed with 2020 American League Rookie of the Year Kyle Lewis on the Injured List due to a knee injury suffered during spring training.

With Lewis on the Injured List, veteran third baseman Kyle Seager is going to need to improve on his .224 batting average to go along with just two home runs. Seager has been the most consistent batter for Seattle over the past five years and if they want any chance of turning this rebuild into a competitive team for the long haul in 2021, they need him to heat up at the dish.

About the Red Sox

Boston Red Sox LogoThe Red Sox also have lost only one series this year and it was the first one of the year when they were swept by the Orioles. The offense has been the main reason, as they lead the American League in scoring at 5.4 runs per game. Shortstop Xander Bogarts has come out of the gates on fire, batting .385 with eight RBI.

Left Fielder J.D. Martinez leads Major League Baseball in RBI with 20 in just 19 games. Martinez is also batting .368 with an American League-leading six home runs. The Boston pitching staff has been more than serviceable to start the season with a 3.73 ERA, which ranks 11th in the majors.

Their pitchers have only allowed 11 home runs so far, the second-lowest total in the big leagues, meaning opposing lineups are being forced to earn their runs the hard way.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Seattle Mariners +1½ (-130) +140 O 9½ (-105)
Boston Red Sox -1½ (+110) -170 U 9½ (-115)

The Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Justin Dunn is getting the ball for the visiting Mariners on Thursday night. Dunn is 1-0 this season with a 3.72 ERA in 9.2 innings of work spread across two starts. The 25-year-old  Dunn has great stuff, but lacks control and has walked 10 batters already this season.

The Red Sox are turning to right-hander Nick Pivetta for the series opener. Pivetta has been sharp this season with a 3.68 ERA in 14.2 innings pitched over three starts. Pivetta was only able to go 3.2 innings in his last outing after the White Sox were able to get two runs across early.

What’s the Bet?
Boston is the better of these two teams, but this line is inflated way too much. Seattle has been a tough team to beat in the early going and has lived on loving being counted out. The Mariners are 9-6 straight up this season when playing the role of underdog.

Seattle had an off day Wednesday while the Red Sox were engaged in a tough divisional matchup, which gives the bullpen rest advantage to the visitors.

At +140 the Mariners are definitely worth a Moneyline bet considering they just gave the best team in baseball all they could handle earlier this week.
The Bet
Mariners ML

*Odds courtesy of MyBookie

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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.