Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros MLB Odds and Pick for May 2nd

We have just eight games scattered around Major League Baseball to begin the week. That includes a clash between American League West rivals set to go down in Houston. The Astros, fresh off of a series defeat in Toronto, will return home to host the Mariners.

The Mariners were quite active this offseason, and those moves seem to be paying dividends early on. Seattle comes into tonight’s game at 12-10, which is good for second place in the division behind the impressive Los Angeles Angels.
The Astros, meanwhile, are just 11-11, which is a fairly disappointing record for a franchise that has won three American League pennants since 2017. Houston dropped each of their last two games over the weekend against the Blue Jays after winning Friday’s series opener.

A couple of veterans will square off in this one. Marco Gonzales will toe the rubber for the visitors, while Jake Odorizzi will take the ball for the ‘Stros.

BetOnline oddsmakers like the Astros to get back into the win column on Monday night. Houston is a -135 moneyline favorite in a game with an over/under of 9 runs.

Seattle Mariners

It’s been quite a while since the Mariners were any good. Since setting a Major League regular-season record with 116 wins in 2001, the Mariners have yet to make the playoffs. That record-breaking team fell in the AL Division Series that year, and a grand total of zero postseason appearances have followed.

The Mariners came close to snapping the streak last season before ultimately falling short. This winter, the team’s brass tried to accelerate the rebuilding process with the acquisitions of Robbie Ray, Jesse Winker, and Eugenio Suarez, among others. So far, so good.

Gonzales, one of the longest-tenured Mariners, will make his fifth start of 2022 in tonight’s game. The lefty is 1-2 to this point with a 3.86 ERA, which is a pretty impressive number given his disastrous season debut.

Gonzales was lit up for six runs on six hits, including three home runs, by the Twins back in his first start of the campaign. However, the 30-year-old has yielded just four earned runs across three appearances since then. Only six of the 14 total runs conceded by Gonzales so far this season have been earned, in fact.
Gonzales left his last start against the Rays after just one-third of an inning after taking a line drive off of his wrist. Gonzales was hit by a 109-mph line drive off the bat of Harold Ramirez, which ultimately forced him to leave the game. Despite barely pitching, Gonzales was handed the loss in Seattle’s 3-2 setback.

Gonzales’ best start of the season came against these Astros in Seattle back on April 15th. The veteran held Houston’s vaunted lineup to just one run on four hits across seven stellar innings of work.

Houston Astros

The Astros have been baseball’s most successful team over the last handful of years, but they have their work cut out for them in 2022. With the Angels and Mariners both looking much-improved, Houston likely won’t breeze their way to another division title this summer.

The Astros have also dealt with some early-season injuries, which have played a role in the team’s middling 11-11 start. However, a diminutive reinforcement is on the way. Jose Altuve will return to the lineup tonight after missing a couple of weeks with a hamstring strain. Altuve hasn’t played since suffering the injury against the Angels on April 18th.

Dusty Baker will hope Altuve’s return to the lineup will bolster a lineup that has struggled relative to expectations thus far. Houston’s offense likely won’t be quite as prolific this season after losing Carlos Correa in free agency, but Correa’s replacement has held his own to this point. Rookie Jeremy Pena already has four homers and 10 runs batted in through his first 21 big league games, but an on-base average of just .291 could use some work.

It also remains to be seen how much longer Houston will stick with Odorizzi in the starting rotation. The experienced right-hander is 1-2 with a bloated ERA of 6.00 through his first four outings of the year. That includes one particularly terrible start against the Angels in which he yielded six runs and failed to make it out of the first inning. That came on the heels of a start in which he allowed four runs in an eventual 11-1 loss to these Mariners.

He did look better last time out, however. Odorizzi allowed just one run on one hit in six dominant innings in a win over the Rangers in Arlington last week.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Game Pick

Both offenses will be facing these starting pitchers for the second time already this season. In most cases, such a quick turnaround tends to favor the bats. I’d expect the Astros to get some better swings against Gonzales this time around, while the Mariners will look to inflict even more damage on Odorizzi.

Please Note:
15 of the Astros’ 22 games so far this season have gone under the implied total. Scoring is down around baseball so far this year, yet Houston has been one of the best under bets of them all. The under has cashed in a whopping 68.2 percent of the Astros’ games. The Mariners, meanwhile are 11-11 over/under thus far.

While the under has been king for the Astros so far this season, I think the over on 9 runs looks like the best way to bet Mariners/Astros on Monday night. With both offenses getting their second looks at the starters, I’m expecting more offense in this one. Neither pitcher is a high-strikeout arm, which means we’ll see plenty of balls put in play tonight.

Bet the over on the 9-run total.

Over 9 Runs

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Betting Recap

  • Moneyline: Mariners +115, Astros -135
  • Runline: Mariners +1.5 (-170), Astros -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 runs (-110), Under 9 runs (-110)
  • Pick: Over 9 Runs (-110)


Taylor Smith / Author

Taylor is a sports writer based in Southern California. While he primarily specializes in basketball, baseball and football, he will also dabble in things like soccer and politics from time to time. He has lived in just about every corner of the United States at one point or another, and he has been covering sports and sports betting for the better part of a decade. Taylor currently lives in Long Beach with his fiancé and their two cats.

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