Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels – MLB Pick 8-31-20

The Major League Baseball trade deadline is today at 1 PM PST, and several marquee names are rumored to be on the move. Lance Lynn, Mike Clevinger, Mike Minor, and Chad Kuhl headline the biggest starting pitchers available, and in a season where we can only expect the unexpected, nobody has any idea what to expect today. If the lead up to today’s trade deadline is any indication of what is to come, we are going to see fireworks today!

The San Diego Padres have already made three deals, signaling that they are all-in on winning now, and several other contending teams have already made moves, including the Braves, Blue Jays, Cubs, Phillies, and Rockies. For our free daily betting pick, we will take a look at two teams that could end up selling today before the trade deadline, as the Los Angeles Angels host the Seattle Mariners.

Seattle Mariners (14-22) at Los Angeles Angels (12-23)

The Los Angeles Angels host the Seattle Mariners today in game three of a four-game series. The Halos took games one and two of the series, but Seattle battled back yesterday to take game three, and the Mariners are hoping to earn a series split today in the series finale. The Angels enter play today with the worst record in the American League and are looking for just their third series win of the year.

For Seattle, the Mariners have won seven out of their last eleven games, and while it would take a strong finish to back door into the playoffs, with this recent run, Seattle has a glimmer of hope to make the postseason for the first time since 2001, the longest active postseason drought in the Major Leagues. Seattle took yesterday’s game 2-1 in extra innings and are hoping to make it back to back wins over LA today.

Starting today for the Angels is Jaime Barria (0-0 2.89 ERA), and for the Mariners, it is Marco Gonzalez (3-2 3.63 ERA). The game total over/under is set at nine runs. The Angels are -150 home field favorites. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 PM PST from Angel Stadium in Anaheim.

Spread:

  • Seattle Mariners +1.5 (-159)
  • Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (+133)
Money Line:

  • Seattle Mariners (+135)
  • Los Angeles Angels (-150)
  • Total Runs:

    • Over 9 (-103)
    • Under 9 (-120)

    Seattle Mariners

    Mariners GM Jerry Dipoto is always one of the most active general managers in the game. Dipoto is known for his ability to pull off a bunch of trades, and yesterday he pulled the trigger on a seven-player deal with the San Diego Padres. The M’s sent a package headlined by Auston Nola to San Diego and got back a nice package of close to Major League ready prospects, with the big-name heading to Seattle being Taylor Trammell.

    It was a sly move by Dipoto, and he showed that while the Mariner’s recent run of success in the last two weeks is a good sign for the future, that he is still focused exclusively on the future. Dipoto also traded away Dan Vogelbach, a guy that was an All-Star last season for Seattle, for cash to the Toronto Blue Jays. He also moved starting pitcher, Tajuan Walker, earlier in the week. I’m not ready to call it a fire sale just yet, but don’t be shocked if guys like Dee Gordon and Kyle Seager get moved at some point today before the trade deadline.

    Marco Gonzalez (3-2 3.63 ERA)

    One guy that is sure not to be traded away today is starting pitcher Marco Gonzalez. Gonzalez is the centerpiece of the Mariners rebuild on the mound, and while he doesn’t post elite numbers, he is the best the Mariners have got right now and serves as their ace. Gonzalez was a former first-round draft pick, and at still just 28-year’s old should be around to see the other side of this Seattle rebuild.

    Gonzalez won a career-high sixteen games last year and finished the year with a sub-four run ERA. This year, he has made six starts and has a 2-3 record and a respectable 3.63 ERA to show for it. He has already made two starts against the Angels this year and has been solid as he has pitched a combined 13.1 innings and has allowed just six hits and three earned runs. The Mariners won both games.

    Los Angeles Angels

    Another team that is expected to be unloading talent today is the Los Angeles Angels. Similar to Seattle, the Angels also traded away a recent All-Star when they sent Tommy La Stella to the Athletics. LA also moved catcher Jason Castro late last night to the San Diego Padres, and it seems that just about every player on the roster with the exception of Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani, and Anthony Rendon’s has been rumored to be dealt.

    The Angels are completely out of contention at this point in the season, and if you are a veteran player on this roster, you can start packing your bags now. Both Dylan Bundy and Julio Teheran, guys that the Angels just added in this most recent offseason, are expected to be traded, and I can’t imagine the Angels are going to be doing a lot of winning in the season’s final month of play.

    Jaime Barria (0-0 2.89 ERA)

    Jaime Barria showed a lot of promise when he debuted with the Angels in 2018 at just 22-year’s old. That year, he went 10-9 with a 3.41 ERA in 26 starts. But last season, Barria hit a sophomore slump, as he had a dreadfully bad 4-10 record and a sky-high ERA of 6.42. Barria made his first start of the season two weeks ago and has made two appearances for the Angels this year.

    Barria has managed to pitch just 9.1 combined innings in his two starts and has been decent when in the game, allowing just three total earned runs. The problem for Barria has been the lack of run support and the fact that the Angels bullpen is awful. He has pitched fairly well in limited action, but the Angels have still lost every game he has started this year.

    Who Do I Like?

    Another day, another opportunity to fade the Angels as favorites. The Angels have been the worst team in the American League, pretty much since Opening Day, yet the books continually make them betting favorites. Yesterday, the Angels lost to Seattle as heavy -185 favorites. It was the 11th time this season that the Angels have been favored in a game and lost, and I was on Seattle and got paid.

    The Angels are just 7-11 when favored in games, and their .389 winning percentage as favorites is higher than only the Arizona Diamondbacks, amongst teams that have played at least ten games as favorites this season. Why do the books keep showing them all of this love? And why does the public continue to back them? T be honest, I no idea.

    The Bet

    The Mariners aren’t a good baseball team, and they aren’t going to be making the playoffs. But neither are the Angels. Both of these teams are likely to take the field today with at least one key piece missing that gets traded away before first pitch. But the Mariners are playing well as of late, and with their ace on the mound, I think they are going to give a full effort no matter which players are on the field.

    Marco Gonzalez has pitched against the Angels twice this year, and the Mariners won both games. That is what I see happening again today. Jaime Barria has been decent, but he was terrible last year, and I am not going to let nine innings stretched across two starts fool me into thinking he is all of the sudden, an elite pitcher. I see Marco Gonzalez as the clear favorite in terms of the starting pitching matchup.

    When you look at these rosters, you have to see that the Angels have more talent, but at some point, you are what your record is. And the Angels record tells me that this is the worst team in the American League. So, getting the opportunity to fade the worst team in the AL, while getting the best of the starting pitching matchup on the mound, is going to be far too much value to pass up on today. Give me the Seattle Mariners as road underdogs today in game four from Anaheim!

    The Bet: Seattle Mariners +135

    My Pick
    Seattle Mariners
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    Jason Gray / Author

    Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL