Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick – MLB April 14, 2021

The Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles meet for a full nine-inning game on Wednesday evening. They played a double-header yesterday, with two seven-inning games at Camden Yards. The Mariners got off to a win in the first contest by a score of 4-3 in extras, and then the Orioles returned the favor in a close 7-6 win.

Nick Margevicius lasted just 3 innings, as he gave up 6 hits and 2 earned runs. If he wasn’t pulled, Margevicius was in danger of allowing much more than 2 runs. Errors were a major concern for the Mariners. They made three errors in the field to give the Orioles golden opportunities to win. It ended up being the difference in a 1-run game.

The Orioles were able to get a game within .500 with the win on Tuesday night. Conversely, the Mariners are a game away from slipping to .500. Neither team is expected to go places in 2021. Some positive signs and progress would make for a good season, especially the Orioles who went into full rebuilding mode when they sent Manny Machado to Los Angeles two years ago.

No one is expecting the Orioles to turn things around that quickly and become a contender in such a short window. The Chris Davis deal really threw a big wrench in the Orioles’ plans to be a competitive team in the American League over the last few years. Machado had some value on the trade market, while Davis had near the least of any player in the major leagues.

Trey Mancini back on the field might be the best sign of all for the Orioles. Mancini is back to baseball after being diagnosed with stage 3 colon cancer and undergoing chemotherapy. He seems like a good person, and is a valuable asset for the Orioles on the field and in the locker room. Mancini is off to a slow start with a .159 batting average, but he has gone deep for 2 home runs.

The Orioles are expected to send veteran Matt Harvey to the bump. He’s cheap. That’s about the only positive I can come up with for Harvey at this point in his career. The Orioles are just hoping he is serviceable enough, and maybe get really lucky and he finds decent form. When I say decent, a 4.50 to 5.00 ERA would suffice. The Mariners are expected to counter with Justin Dunn, who is trying to find his form in the rotation. We keep waiting for 25-year-old Dunn to breakout

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Mariners +1.5 (-190)
  • Orioles -1.5 (+145)
Moneyline:

  • Mariners +110
  • Orioles -130
Total:

  • Over 9.5 (-110)
  • Under 9.5 (-110)

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Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction:

Justin Dunn was expected to come out of his shell and have a standout season by this point in his career. He was selected with the 19th overall pick in the 2016 draft by the New York Mets. The Mets didn’t give Dunn much of a chance in Queens, as they shipped him out of town at the earliest opportunity. Dunn did not pitch in a major league game with the Mets. He made his debut in 2019 with the Mariners, posting an ERA of 2.70 and 1.65 WHIP through four starts.

The idea was for Dunn to come out blazing hot last season after showing promise in 2019. While Dunn wasn’t bad, he didn’t have a coming out party. Dunn recorded an ERA of 4.34 and 1.36 WHIP. His command was not encouraging, as Dunn conceded 31 walks through 45.2 innings of work. If he can get that under control, Dunn will start to see his numbers improve nicely.

Dunn has already walked 8 walks through 4.2 innings of work this season. He owns a 5.69 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in one start, which came against the White Sox last week. It doesn’t mean much if he’s keeping batting averages low, if Dunn can’t throw strikes it’s going to add up to plenty of runs for the opposition. The White Sox hit 0.71 against Dunn and still managed to score 3 earned runs.

While Dunn is looking to get his young career on track, former Met, Matt Harvey, is looking to collect an easy paycheck late in his career. I really don’t know how much juice Harvey has left in the tank. He’s been clinging on by a hair since 2017. Harvey has a job still because some teams just don’t have much depth and young prospects that aren’t ready to be called up, including the Orioles. Harvey has recorded an ERA of 6.70, 7.00, 4.50, 7.09, 11.57 the last five years.

The one outlier was an okay season with the Reds in 2018 when he was somewhat productive with an ERA of 4.50. His velocity issues go back to being diagnosed with Thoracic Outlet Syndrome in 2016. From a consistent 96 to 97 mph fastball to delivering up meatballs now. Harvey has allowed 6 earned runs through 9.2 innings for a 5.59 ERA and 1.55 WHIP, both outings against the Red Sox this season. I’m not too excited about either starter in this game, which is usually a good indicator that we’re going to have a high-scoring contest.

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Our Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.