Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Pick – MLB June 6, 2022

The Seattle Mariners are in Houston looking to keep things rolling after stealing one against the Texas Rangers on Sunday. Seattle scored 3 runs in the top of the 9th to force extra innings and win.

This happened after the Rangers took a 5-2 lead in the bottom of the 8th. That looked like good news for the Rangers, but then Matt Bush entered the game to allow 4 hits and 3 earned runs without getting out of the inning.

That’s a bad loss for the Rangers, but it could be a season-changing win for the Mariners. Probably not, though.

The Mariners are going into Houston at 24-30 and 11 games behind the Astros. Despite the slow start, they looked good most recently, with three wins in four games.

That being said, those two series were against the Orioles and Rangers. That isn’t the biggest measuring stick for the Mariners. This will be a tougher test against the Astros.

Signing Robbie Ray to a five-year $115-million-dollar contract isn’t looking so good right now.

It didn’t really jump off the page at the time as well. Sure, Ray just won the Cy Young, but the Mariners still had plenty of holes to patch up regardless of having him on their roster.

Ray hasn’t looked like the same Cy Young hurler from last season. He received a lot of help in tweaking his delivery in Toronto with the coaching staff. However, whatever he learned hasn’t translated to Seattle yet.

The Astros are going into this series following a 7-4 win over the KC Royals. They’ve won six of their previous seven attempts and clear by 8.5 games over the Angels in the AL West. There is no competition in the division at the moment.

The Angels were looking good, but that’s a distant memory after losing their tenth straight game on Sunday. They lost in dramatic fashion after going into the bottom of the 8th with a 6-2 lead. That lead turned into a 9-7 loss. It’s all Astros in the AL West.

Head below for our free Mariners vs. Astros prediction on June 6, 2022.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Seattle Mariners +1.5 (-140) +140 Over 8.5 (-105)
Houston Astros -1.5 (+120) -160 Under 8.5 (-115)
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Team Data Seattle Mariners Houston Astros
Overall Record 24-30 35-19
Away/Home Record 12-20 14-6
Batting Average .239 .234
Batting Average Away/Home .225 .225
Runs Per 9 4.15 4.23
Team ERA 4.14 2.93
Team ERA Away/Home 4.57 2.24

Mariners vs. Astros Prediction:

Robbie Ray is being asked to elevate his game because for a guy making his type of money, the numbers aren’t matching up. Ray is going into Monday night with an ERA of 4.93 and a 1.25 WHIP.

This is the same pitcher that won the Cy Young last season. He finished with an ERA of 2.84 and a 1.04 WHIP with the Jays.

Ray had a few good seasons with the Diamondbacks earlier in his career, which shouldn’t be forgotten. It isn’t just a one-year thing for Ray in Toronto. He’s tasted success before, but needed to fix a few things after getting complacent.

What I mean by that is Ray has been good before and he’s turned around and struggled the next season. Ray had an ERA of 2.89 and 3.93 in 2017 to 2018. The following two years, Ray posted a 4.34 ERA and 7.84 ERA.

Then the Blue Jays gave Ray a life preserver, and he turned one big season into a $115-million-dollar contract. I don’t think Ray having troubles this season is out of line with what’s happened in the past.

Ray has gone through great and bad years well before he won a Cy Young.

He’s going into this one with an ERA of 5.82 and a 1.41 WHIP in his previous three starts. The long ball has been an issue, and the wind is blowout out to right field tonight. Ray has yielded at least one home run in six straight games.

His effort on the road hasn’t been in good form rather than decent numbers at T-Mobile Park. In 31 innings at home, Ray has a 3.86 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Conversely, Ray has a 5.86 ERA and 1.44 WHIP on the road.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 3-13 overall in their previous 16 games after scoring 5 or more runs
  • 2-11 overall in their previous 13 games following a win
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games on a Monday
  • 7-18 overall in their previous 25 games as an underdog on the road
  • 16-40 overall in their previous 56 games at Houston


  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games after a win
  • 6-1 overall in their previou seven games
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games at home versus Seattle
  • 36-15 overall in their previous 51 games as a betting favorite at home
  • 38-18 overall in their previous versus a team with a losing record

  • Cristian Javier is one of the best pitchers in the majors that most people don’t know about. Javier would be in Cy Young territory if it weren’t for one bad spot to skew his numbers against the Washington Nationals on May 14.

    Javier is entering this one with an ERA of 2.41 and a 1.07 WHIP.

    Javier posted a 1.15 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in his previous three starts through 17.1 innings of play. Besides 7 earned runs allowed in that outing versus the Nats, Javier hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in a start.

    Javier has yielded 1 or no earned runs in eight of ten assignments combined as a reliever and a starter in the rotation. His best work has been at Minute Maid Park in Houston.

    Javier is red-hot at home, where he owns an ERA of 0.38 and a 0.72 WHIP in five appearances at Minute Maid Park. During that time, he’s conceded only 1 earned run. The 25-year-old has held the Mariners to a .083 batting average if you aren’t convinced yet.

    I’m not convinced with Ray, and their bullpen isn’t the best, either, with a 4.35 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. The ‘Stros have the best bullpen with an ERA of 2.64 and a 1.15 WHIP.

    Give me the Astros to succeed in the opener of this three-game series in Houston.


    Mariners vs. Astros Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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