The New York Yankees will look to extend their healthy lead atop the American League standings when they continue their hard-fought series with the talented Seattle Mariners on Wednesday afternoon at Yankee Stadium. Last night, the Mariners clapped back in a big way against the talented Yankees, securing a crucial win for their playoff chances. Though the M’s are currently without their star rookie in Julio Rodriguez, this offense remains talented and versatile, as was seen by what they did to New York starter Jameson Taillon.
Geno CLOBBERED that baseball for the early lead! pic.twitter.com/eSkhZNiiA6
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) August 2, 2022
This afternoon, baseball fans will be treated to an absolute gem of a pitching matchup, as new Mariner Luis Castillo is poised to make his Seattle debut. The former Cincinnati Red was a key deadline acquisition for this Mariners’ squad, and instantly comes in as the ace of this new-look staff. He’ll be opposed by the Yankees’ ace in Gerritt Cole. Both throwers are having impressive seasons, and though Yankee Stadium is known as a hitters’ park, expect solid outings from both pitchers on Wednesday afternoon.
Luis Castillo’s career K rate – 9.8/9 IP
Luis Castrillo’s career ERA+ – 126All #Mariners starters in history with a K rate and ERA+ that good:
Randy Johnson
(End list)
— Jayson Stark (@jaysonst) July 30, 2022
With both squads refining their games and loading up for a key post-season push, it should make Wednesday’s clash all the more exciting – especially as this could be an ALDS series preview come October! For added insight, the latest news, trends, and analysis, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for our breakdown and betting prediction for this hotly anticipated series finale between these American League rivals. Enjoy the game, folks!
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Live Odds & Betting History
Betting odds provided by BOVADA
| TEAM DATA | MARINERS | YANKEES |
| Overall Record | 56-49 | 70-35 |
| Over/Under/Push | 48-53-4 | 52-49-4 |
| Home/Away Record | 29-26 | 41-14 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 | 5.3 |
| Runs Allowed Per Game | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Team Batting Average | .233 | .244 |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.55 | 2.88 |
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Prediction:
Expect the Mariners to continue with their positive momentum from last night’s thriller in the Bronx. Seattle has the pieces to contend with the Yankees, and with the red-hot Luis Castillo undoubtedly amped up for his Mariners’ debut, New York’s bats could again face a rare off-day at the dish.
Castillo has been dominant over the past month, posting a 1.9 ERA over his previous 28 innings pitched. He recently shut down the Yankees back in Cincinnati, limiting them to just one earned run, across seven scoreless innings. Castillo has also been stellar on the road this season, boasting a tiny 2.09 ERA in seven outings. Look for those trends to continue into Wednesday’s contest.
Catching you up on Luis Castillo’s month of July 🔥 pic.twitter.com/UZDt0vP50G
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) July 30, 2022
For the Yankees and Gerritt Cole, while he is experiencing another solid campaign, his start-to-start performances have been erratic. The talented righty has battled with consistency here in 2022, and he was quite mediocre in July. Cole finished with a 4.03 ERA during the month, and even surrendered five earned runs, two different times. At times, he’s even forgotten how many outs there were in an inning – as seen below! And while he has been better at Yankee Stadium opposed to away from it, this Mariners’ lineup is versatile enough to hit to all fields, and do damage when on the base paths. Seattle is slated to again be without Julio Rodriguez and Ty France, currently that dynamic duo would sit atop the M’s lineup.
Gerrit Cole thought there were 3 outs 😭 pic.twitter.com/kdteT5vmwG
— Talkin’ Yanks (@TalkinYanks) July 29, 2022
Mariners vs. Yankees Trends To Know:
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 Wednesday games.
- Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League East.
- Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mariners are 10-2 in their last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
The Mariners need wins at a greater rate than New York does, and look for Luis Castillo to get the job done at a surprisingly large underdog price. While the M’s lineup is depleted, their approach with Cole should frustrate the big right-hander of the Yankees. Seattle showed last night that they still possess a ton of offensive pop without their top guys, and if Cole struggles again with control – the patient bats of the Mariners will definitely take advantage. On the mound, Seattle boasts a slight advantage with a virtually unhittable Luis Castillo, and look for him to stifle this Yankees’ lineup mostly reliant on power. Seattle represents big moneyline value on Wednesday afternoon.
