We have had a great week, winning six out of last eight bets, with all the winners coming as money line underdogs, but came up just short last night. We backed the Colorado Rockies on the run line and got stung by that half of a run. The Rockies mounted a late-inning dramatic comeback and walked the game off on an Ian Desmond two-run homer to win it 4-3, in the bottom of the ninth inning.
The game was low scoring as I suspected, and we easily came in on the under ten runs side of our bet but couldn’t cover the run line. It happens. Those run lines are always tough to cover, especially on the home team. Kyle Freeland pitched well, as expected, but this Rockies offense just couldn’t get anything going until late in the game. What can you do, we will chalk this one up to bad luck and hope to get right back on track and stay hot today as we focus in on the game between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Colorado Rockies.
The St. Louis Cardinals will travel to Colorado Friday for game one of a three-game series with the Rockies. The Cardinals are the hottest team in all of baseball right now, having gone 17-4 in the month of August and they have surged up the standings in the National League. The Rockies are playing a good brand of baseball at the moment as well, as they have won eight out of their last ten and are tied with the Milwaukee Brewers for the second wild-card spot in the NL, a half of a game behind the Cardinals.
Starting tonight for the Cardinals is Miles Mikolas (13-3 2.80 ERA), and for the Rockies, it is Antonio Senzatela (4-3 4.47 ERA). The Cardinals are small -108 road favorites. The game total over-under is set at ten and a half runs. First pitch is scheduled for 5:40 PM PST from Coors Field in Colorado.
The St Louis Cardinals have to be the biggest surprise team of the second half. They looked to be dead in the water and traded off some pieces at the trade deadline and were left for dead. But however improbable as it has been, the Cards just keep winning games. They are coming off a sweep of the defending National League Champion Los Angeles Dodgers, in L.A. And they are currently in playoff position right now occupying the first wild-card spot in the NL.
One guy that has really been getting the job done for the Cardinals is starter Miles Mikolas. Mikolas has been pitching lights out pretty much all season long but has really turned it up in the second half of the year. In August, the Cards are 4-0 in games where he has started, and he has an ERA of just 2.67. St. Louis has won eight out of his last nine starts, and on the year, they are 18-6 in games Mikolas has started.
Mikolas pitched against this Rockies team earlier this month and dazzled. On August 2nd Mikolas pitched seven innings against the Rockies, allowing just one earned run and the Cardinals won the game. The Cardinals are hoping he can stay hot as they call ill afford any slip-ups down the stretch.
The Rockies will start Antonio Senzatela tonight. Senzatela started the season in the bullpen and has been thrown into a starter’s role late in the season. He has had some mixed results as a starter. In August he has posted a 2.45 ERA in two starts, including a solid outing against the Cardinals where he pitched five innings of one-run ball and picked up a no decisions. July wasn’t as kind to him as he had a 4.47 ERA in four starts including back to back starts, where he gave up ten earned runs in just over eleven innings of work.
These types of struggles had to be expected from a second-year guy with limited experience. Especially when you throw in the fact that he pitched most of the season out of the bullpen before being thrown into the starting rotation in early July.
Baseball is a streaky game. I am not sure what has gotten into this Cardinals team lately, but boy are they playing great baseball right now. They are stringing together wins in a hurry, and it has been mostly against solid competition. This month they have played series against the Washington Nationals, the Colorado Rockies, the Milwaukee Brewers, the Pittsburgh Pirates, and the Los Angeles Dodgers. That is a who’s who of the National League and they ran right through them.
I think that streak continues tonight, Mikolas has been great all year long, and he gets a lot of groundball outs. Giving up a lot of fly balls is playing with fire in Coors Field but Mikolas loves to keep the ball down in the strike zone and force a lot of ground balls, that should bode well for him tonight.
I am not really sure how this game goes to be exact. But I do know that Mikolas should be solid, and Senzatela could be all over the place. I think the Cardinals are the better team, and they are playing with all kinds of swagger right now. Give me the St. Louis Cardinals as small road favorites at -108!