St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Pick – MLB July 6, 2022

The St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves dance for the third of four games at Truist Park this week. They are coming off a 6-3 and 7-1 win in the series’ first two games. The Braves can win and set up a chance to sweep tomorrow.

It was total domination from the Braves last night, as the bats were working, and Ian Anderson was in good form. Andre Pallante had to exit the game after allowing 10 hits and 7 earned runs across 3.2 innings.

The Braves are reeling in the Mets and are only 2.5 games off the pace now. They were a mile behind a month ago, but continue to pull in the Mets. The Mets are hobbling without Max Scherzer and Jacob de Grom.

The Mets benefitted from a slow start from the Braves. The Braves needed some time to re-focus after winning the World Series. Atlanta was in a hangover to open the season.

It can’t be a surprise that the Mets are about to give up the division. They fell back quickly because of injuries last year, and not having de Grom and Scherzer is a big blow.

One absent, fine, but losing both hurts. This is the Mets as well, who are a good team at providing false hope.

The Cardinals are looking to keep pace with the Brewers in the NL Central.

Milwaukee has quickly pulled away for a three-game lead over the Cards. I do not believe this division will be decided anytime soon, though.

The Brewers will go on a run, and then the Cardinals could get hot this summer. They will likely exchange blows and not give up too much ground.

The Cards have only themselves to blame for getting behind by three games, though. They’reThey’re on a three-game losing streak and losses in four of their previous five attempts.

Head below for our free Cardinals vs. Braves prediction on July 6, 2022.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-140) +141 Over 8.5 (-125)
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+120) -170 Under 8.5 (+105)
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Team Data St. Louis Cardinals Atlanta Braves
Overall Record 44-39 48-34
Away/Home Record 20-23 26-17
Batting Average .250 .248
Batting Average Away/Home .247 .252
Runs Per 9 4.75 4.86
Team ERA 3.88 3.69
Team ERA Away/Home 4.24 3.90

Cardinals vs. Braves Prediction:

The Cardinals will ask Miles Mikolas to get them out of this hole at Truist Park. Mikolas could be the guy to do it, as he’s been a strong arm for the Cardinals this season.

He has posted an ERA of 2.61 and a 0.99 WHIP across 100 innings. Mikolas is currently on pace to finish with a career-high, though it’s going to be tough for him to hold on well enough to beat his 2.83 ERA from 2018.

The best news for Mikolas is that he’s consistently been this good.

Note that Mikolas has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in his last four starts. In his previous three trips to the mound, Mikolas has posted an ERA of 2.55 and a 1.08 WHIP.

It’s tough to ask much from a pitcher against this dangerous lineup, but Mikolas has held his own. Across 121 at-bats, the Braves have 3 home runs and hitting .202 against Mikolas. I’d say that’s a win for the pitcher.

His form has been well above average on the road as well. It hasn’t mattered where he’s pitching this season.

Mikolas owns a 2.62 ERA and 1.12 WHIP on the road.

Over the course of this season, the offense has been dangerous for the Cardinals. They are a hair behind the Braves, with 4.75 runs per 9 innings and a .252 batting average for sixth in the major leagues.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games after scoring 2 or fewer runs
  • 14-5 overall in their previous 19 games versus a left-handed starter
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games after their opponent concedes 2 or fewer runs
  • 51-22 overall in their previous 73 games after losing the first two games of a series
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games on the road


  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 6-0 overall in their previous six games on a Wednesday
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games versus the NL Central
  • 5-11 overall in their previous 16 games versus a starter with a WHIP better than 1.15
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games after conceding 2 or fewer runs
  • UNDER is 4-0 in their previous four games

  • Max Fried is in good shape in this matchup, with a 2.66 ERA and 1.03 WHIP across 37 innings of work. He’s been slightly less strong at home, but still has a strong ERA of 2.92 and a 1.20 WHIP.

    The Cardinals are at their best versus lefties.

    The Cards would rather see left-handed pitchers than righties. They’reThey’re hitting .261 against lefties as opposed to .247 versus a right-handed pitcher. In their last ten outings, the Cards are hitting .262.

    The bullpens aren’t too much different, with the Cardinals recording a 3.51 ERA and 1.22 WHIP going into tonight. The Braves own a 3.20 ERA and 1.18 WHIP from their relievers.

    Expect the Cardinals to be motivated to play better baseball and end this skid. Mikolas provides the Cards with their best chance of putting a win on the board. In any event, it should be close, with an insurance run on the Cardinals at +1.5 a solid option.


    Cardinals vs. Braves Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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